Research Briefing
The Nordic countries will exit 2021 in much better shape than when they entered it. Considerable progress on vaccine rollouts...
Research Briefing
The Nordic countries will exit 2021 in much better shape than when they entered it. Considerable progress on vaccine rollouts...
Research Briefing
Diminishing economic disruption and uncertainty, stemming from the pandemic and ensuing supply-side bottlenecks, bode well for a still-strong recovery in...
Research Briefing
The eurozone pushed on with a strong recovery in 2021, but in many ways that’s been the easy part. With...
Research Briefing
Growth in Q3 surprised on the upside based on the flash estimate, with activity in the previous months revised up....
Consulting Report
Our study analyses the strengths and weaknesses, opportunities, and threats for the German chemical industry in light of future transformation...
Research Briefing
We remain sceptical that Draghi’s reform agenda will be fully delivered and consider a long-term improvement in Italy’s economic prospects...
Research Briefing
Political turmoil in Portugal will delay the execution of some EU recovery funding and freeze key stimulus measures planned for...
Research Briefing
The National Bank of Poland (NBP) hiked its policy rate by 75bps to 1.25% at yesterday’s meeting. Although some tightening...
Research Briefing
We estimate that Warsaw’s GDP grew by 4.5% a year in the 2010-19 period, so notably faster than its five...
Research Briefing
Carbon pricing – either through a tax or an emissions trading scheme – will play an integral role in efforts...
Research Briefing
China's official manufacturing PMI fell 0.4 points to 49.2 in October, while the non-manufacturing PMI dropped to 52.4, from 53.2...
Research Briefing
Europe’s tourism sector made solid strides towards recovery this summer. In July, overnight stays reached just above 70% of 2019...
Research Briefing
The CBR today surprised the market and us with a 75bp hike, which brought the policy rate to 7.50%. The...
Research Briefing
We don’t expect any policy changes to emerge from the October ECB meeting as key policy decisions are closely tied...
Research Briefing
The recent escalation of the conflict between Poland and the European Union has significantly increased the odds of a decisive...
Research Briefing
The IMF’s updated GDP growth projection for MENA is largely in line with our baseline, although we are more optimistic...
Research Briefing
South Africa will hold its local government elections on November 1 with popular discontent and voter apathy at an all-time...
Research Briefing
Although the outlook for Sweden is strong with all restrictions removed, there are downside risks related to persistent supply-chain bottlenecks...
Research Briefing
The global economic outlook appears to be deteriorating, according to our quarterly review of alternative measures of economic risk. Most...