Research Briefing

Italy | Draghi effect cannot last forever

Ipad Frame - Italy-Draghi-effect-cannot-last-forever

We remain sceptical that Draghi’s reform agenda will be fully delivered and consider a long-term improvement in Italy’s economic prospects as an upside scenario rather than a base case. Italy’s chance of reforming its ill-structured economy has increased with the current government and the boost from NGEU. What you will learn:

  • Civil and penal justice, public administration, taxation, land registry revision – these are some of the areas in which the government is trying to tackle some of Italy’s long-standing problems. But none of these offers a quick fix to lift the economy out of its growth malaise.
  • The recent positive developments have improved perceptions by foreigners, with foreign direct investment marginally up.
  • But the improvement in domestic perceptions has been clearer, with stronger consumer confidence being a key factor behind the momentum of the Italian economy.
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