Research Briefing | Oct 20, 2021

South Africa | Local government elections: What to expect in 2021

South Africa will hold its local government elections on November 1 with popular discontent and voter apathy at an all-time high. The ruling African National Congress (ANC) and the main opposition Democratic Alliance (DA) will both see a drop in support, with the populist Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) and new parties benefiting. Hung councils will once again need coalitions to settle matters.

What you will learn about:

  • The ANC will continue to see a drop in support, but will avoid dropping below 50% for the first time and, ironically, re-assume control of key metros.
  • The DA will suffer reversals precisely as the country’s second-largest opposition party, the EFF, maintains its growth trajectory.
  • With individual parties struggling to achieve majorities, coalitions will once again be key, but will involve different configurations to last time.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Flags of US and Canada

Post

Trump’s tariffs on Canada would raise regional commodity prices

A blanket 25% tariff on Canadian imports to the US could have a significant impact on commodity prices, squeeze profit margins of Canadian exporters and raise prices for US end-users.

Find Out More

Post

Chinese policy is unlikely to shift due to announced tariffs

US President Donald Trump's announcement of an additional 10% tariff on imports from China was in line with our baseline expectation. But the immediacy of implementation, the blanket style of tariffs, and the inclusion of stronger language around retaliation in policy documents still add significant uncertainty to our forecasts.

Find Out More