Research Briefing | Oct 20, 2021

South Africa | Local government elections: What to expect in 2021

South Africa will hold its local government elections on November 1 with popular discontent and voter apathy at an all-time high. The ruling African National Congress (ANC) and the main opposition Democratic Alliance (DA) will both see a drop in support, with the populist Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) and new parties benefiting. Hung councils will once again need coalitions to settle matters.

What you will learn about:

  • The ANC will continue to see a drop in support, but will avoid dropping below 50% for the first time and, ironically, re-assume control of key metros.
  • The DA will suffer reversals precisely as the country’s second-largest opposition party, the EFF, maintains its growth trajectory.
  • With individual parties struggling to achieve majorities, coalitions will once again be key, but will involve different configurations to last time.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Flags of UK and US

Post

US-UK trade deal shows tariffs are here to stay

We will not change our US forecasts based on the latest US-UK deal and what it signals for future agreements.

Find Out More
best- and worst-case global growth scenarios in response to shifting US trade policies

Post

Best- and worst-case global outcomes from US tariff policy

The worst-case US tariff scenario sees significantly weaker growth than in our baseline, but the upsides to growth for many countries in our best-case scenario are modest at best, especially when compared with our pre-'liberation day' views.

Find Out More