Research Briefing
With US tariff threats escalating over Greenland and Europe weighing retaliation, could this standoff trigger a broader trade war and...
Europe Crisis
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Research Briefing
After a mixed 2022, with post-pandemic recovery driving strong growth in the first half of the year, a recession over...
Research Briefing
The energy crisis will shape the macroeconomic outlook again in 2023, keeping the eurozone economy in recession at the start...
Research Briefing
The Hungarian economy is being hit by a perfect storm of shocks, particularly surging inflation and a weakening currency. Our...
Research Briefing
Russia’s shutdown of natural gas flows to Europe has resulted in skyrocketing regional prices. This has contributed to a significant...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast is for consumer spending in the eurozone to fall over the next two quarters as consumption fundamentals...
Research Briefing
We expect eurozone industrial production to contract by a cumulative 3% over the next few quarters due to the severe...
BoE governor Andrew Bailey's insistence that emergency support will end on Friday is an unsustainable position that we expect to...
As spiralling energy prices threaten to cause huge pain for consumers and businesses, governments across Europe are rolling out initiatives...
Research Briefing
According to the proposal of the German government's expert commission around half of the recently agreed €200bn fiscal package or...
Research Briefing
The energy crisis took a dramatic turn this week after reports of several leaks in the gas pipelines Nordstream 1...
