Research Briefing
Our 2022 Norway GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at 3.6%, but a stronger-than-expected impact from the war in Ukraine on...
Research Briefing
Our 2022 Norway GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at 3.6%, but a stronger-than-expected impact from the war in Ukraine on...
Research Briefing
The Russia-Ukraine war is set to have serious implications for wheat supply and food stability in Africa. Despite efforts by...
Research Briefing
The fallout from the Russia-Ukraine conflict and a brief but sharp hit from the Omicron outbreak have prompted us to...
Research Briefing
Survey data this week offer a glimpse into the European economy's post-invasion reality. The Economic Sentiment Index (ESI) reading for...
Research Briefing
President Putin's threat to halt gas supplies from "unfriendly" states if they don't switch to roubles is not as important...
Research Briefing
Russia's GDP is unlikely to return to pre-crisis levels until the early 2030s, according to our modelling. We expect Russia's...
Research Briefing
Eurozone consumer spending was poised to drive growth in 2022, but increasingly consumers' underpinnings have become shaky. While we still...
Research Briefing
We have lowered Sweden's growth for this year to 3.1% from 3.6% previously due to the fallout from Russia's invasion...
Research Briefing
Russia's invasion of Ukraine is being felt throughout the global economy, but few places are as exposed to its impact...
Research Briefing
We have raised our full year 2022 GDP growth forecast to 3.6% from 3.3% previously, due to the especially strong...
Our forecast for Finland’s GDP growth is 2.3% this year and 1.5% in 2023, both unchanged from last month. The...
Research Briefing
We have lowered our mainland 2022 GDP growth forecast by 0.1ppt to 4.2% to reflect the economic impact of the...
Research Briefing
We have kept our growth forecast for this year unchanged at 3.2%, as we expect the impact of the Omicron...
Research Briefing
Our forecast for Finland’s GDP growth is 2.3% this year and 1.5% in 2023, both unchanged from last month. Despite...
Research Briefing
Our Recovery Tracker continued its downward trajectory in early December as the resurgent pandemic, reimposed restrictions, and voluntary social distancing...
Research Briefing
Based on the positive carryover effects from two strong months of GDP growth in August and September, we have raised...
Research Briefing
The spread of Omicron across Europe will probably see a surge in infections over the coming weeks that could surpass...
Research Briefing
Growth in Q3 and previous quarters was revised up, pushing up our 2021 forecast to 4.7% from 4.3%. But we...
Research Briefing
Our forecast for Finland’s GDP growth is 3.5% this year before a slowdown to 2.3% in 2022, both unchanged from...
Research Briefing
The Nordic countries will exit 2021 in much better shape than when they entered it. Considerable progress on vaccine rollouts...