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Anticipate Change. foresight.

Anticipate change and plan with confidence through world-class economic forecasting and scenarios.  

Economists and analysts need to anticipate disruption, test alternative futures, align stakeholders on a shared economic baseline, and quantify structural shifts with confidence.

Oxford Economics provides the modelling rigour that enables this. Our world-class forecasts, and scenarios, are built on transparent global models, consistent assumptions, and a coherent view across cities, countries, industries, and time horizons.

By combining subscription tools with bespoke scenario support, we give technical teams the foresight required to calibrate decisions, evaluate risks and opportunities, and plan for multiple economic pathways using credible, defensible evidence.

The Challenges

The challenges your teams face

The economic landscape is always evolving. The work is separating signal from noise, seeing beneath the headline numbers, and planning credibly for the scenarios that could reshape the decision

Planning uncertainty

Growth, inflation, and interest rate trajectories are shifting rapidly, making it harder to anchor budgets and strategies to a credible, current, consistently updated economic baseline and consider alternative scenarios.

Lack of shared economic view across organisation

Economic data, forecasts, and commentary are abundant but identifying what is meaningful and what can be safely set aside is increasingly difficult. When teams draw different conclusions from the same information, aligning on a consistent economic view becomes harder, and the assumptions underpinning decisions start to diverge.

Geographic and sector allocation risk

Deciding where to enter, scale, or exit requires a view that goes beyond headline macro, down to country, region, city, and sector within a single coherent framework.

Cost pressures that are harder to anticipate

Wage pressures, input costs, commodity prices, and pricing dynamics are increasingly driven by macro forces that require a forward-looking framework, not trailing indicators or point-in-time estimates.

Regulatory demands continue to build

Regulators and boards increasingly require unbiased, credible scenario analysis tailored to the business including macro-financial and climate stress testing. Regulators expect scenarios that are traceable, consistent with the wider macro view and repeatable across cycles.

Structural shifts that are slow-moving but critical

Technology adoption, energy transition, and demographic changes reshape demand and risk over long horizons. Quantifying their economic implications requires a robust economic framework to quantify the uncertainty

How we help

How Oxford Economics supports your work

From establishing a credible macro baseline to stress-testing assumptions across multiple futures, Oxford Economics gives forecasting and planning teams the rigour and range to anticipate change with confidence.

  1. Give leadership a shared economic story

    Oxford Economics provides the independently produced, consistently maintained economic view that enables executives across finance, strategy, and risk to align around a single set of assumptions. Rather than each function constructing its own macro view, organisations can work from one shared baseline — reducing internal friction and ensuring the narrative presented to boards and investors is coherent and defensible.

  2. Anchor your planning cycle to a credible baseline

    Oxford Economics’ economic forecast covers economic growth, demographics, inflation, asset returns, interest rates, and trade, and provides the independently produced, globally consistent baseline that organisations need to align internal assumptions and anchor planning decisions. Because every variable is produced in-house and linked within a single global model, the view is coherent across geographies, sectors, cities and time horizons, and defensible when leadership or regulators challenge the underlying assumptions.

  3. Prepare for disruption with structured scenario analysis

    A baseline provides the most likely outcome but the ability to understand what happens when conditions diverge is equally important. Oxford Economics provides upside and downside scenarios that quantify the economic impact of shocks: interest rate shifts, geopolitical disruptions, trade policy changes, commodity price shocks, supply-chain disruptions, across markets, sectors, and specific business decisions. Scenarios are built on the same transparent methodology as the baseline, ensuring they are consistent, comparable, and credible when stress-testing strategies or meeting regulatory requirements.

  4. Drill down from global to city and sector

    Oxford Economics’ framework extends from the global economy down to individual countries, regions, cities, and sectors within a single integrated model. This means a local assumption is always consistent with the broader macro picture, rather than being an isolated estimate that contradicts the national or regional view. Economists and analysts can drill into the granularity they need without losing coherence at the top level.

  5. Anticipate cost pressures early

    Wage inflation, input costs, energy prices, and supply chain dynamics are modelled within the same framework as the broader macroeconomic outlook — enabling organisations to anticipate cost pressures before they materialise in financial statements, and to build those assumptions into pricing, procurement, and operational planning with greater confidence. 

Case Study

Evaluate tariff paths and supply-chain exposures using transparent, country-level modelling.

Case Study

Quantify alternative macro paths to stress-test plans and guide market-facing decisions.

Case Study

Assess how shifts in trade policy influence economic outcomes and supply-chain risk.

Trusted by

Oxford Economics has added real value to our long-term forecasting at Heathrow Airport. The scenario-based approach helps us explore a range of possible futures, giving us deeper insight into how climate transition could impact our market and business. and the available datasets have strengthened our ability to make informed, data-driven decisions. The regular updates and horizon scanning reports are also especially helpful in keeping us ahead of emerging trends and shifts we need to be aware of. 

Head of Forecasting

Heathrow Airport

The Oxford Model provides a user-friendly environment to examine various economic policies. At the German Economic Institute, we use the model to simulate the effects of new policies such as Germany’s special fund or the U.S. trade tariffs. Its global framework also makes it helpful for international economic forecasting. In addition, the monthly World Economic Prospects updates offer a good overview of current developments and the global economic environment. 

Senior Economist for International Economic Trends and Macroeconomic Analysis

German Economic Institute

Why Oxford Economics

Breadth, rigour, and independence, built to unlock foresight at every level of the organisation.

Transparent, board-defensible methodology

The Oxford Economics Global Economic Model is not a black box. The assumptions, linkages, and methodology behind every forecast and scenario are open to scrutiny — which matters when the output is used to defend a decision in front of a board, investment committee, or regulator. Trusted by central banks, finance ministries, and Fortune 500 corporates worldwide and underpinned by a four-decade forecast track record.

Breadth and granularity in one ecosystem

Global to country to region to city to sector — within a single internally consistent framework, covering more than 200 countries, 100 industrial sectors, and 8,000 cities and regions. No reconciling data from multiple providers. No inconsistencies between the macro view and the local view.

Bespoke scenario support when you need it

Beyond the subscription service, Oxford Economics works directly with teams to build custom scenarios and stress-test specific assumptions. The combination of subscription tools and bespoke consulting means you can work at whatever level of depth and specificity your organisation requires.

Independent analysis, directly from the economists who build it

Oxford Economics’ analysis is produced entirely in-house. Clients work directly with the economists behind the forecasts and scenarios — which means analytical judgement, not just data, is part of what you subscribe to. And because we have no commercial interest in the outcome, every assumption can be traced to a transparent, conflict-free methodology.

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Contact Us

Discuss how Oxford Economics’ foresight can help anticipate change.

Explore how we can help you navigate future challenges and opportunities with confidence through world-class economic forecasting, scenarios and bespoke analysis.