With a second surge of COVID in April, Canada sustained a longer lockdown than the US. GDP climbed 1.4% in...
Economic growth
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Research Briefing
Coronavirus and subsequent containment measures have weighed heavily on the economies of Europe’s major cities. However, the improving health situation,...
Research Briefing
Enhanced US unemployment benefits are discouraging only a small share of unemployed workers from finding jobs. The disincentive to work...
Research Briefing
For the first time in nearly a decade, Spain will see inflation average over 2% this year. Indeed, in the...
Research Briefing
New global cases of Covid-19 have fallen below the March lows and in many advanced economies, rapid vaccination programmes have...
Research Briefing
South Africa was particularly hard hit by the Covid-19 pandemic as the government imposed strict containment measures. As such, the...
Research Briefing
Africa is a key source of the minerals that will be central to the green energy transition. The level of...
Research Briefing
A shift to a new policy regime with much higher and more volatile inflation is a possibility that can’t be...
Research Briefing
Despite a flattening of the yield curve and some position squaring of the socalled reflation trade, we believe our key...
Research Briefing
Our Latin America Recovery Tracker (LART) fell slightly (-0.7pts) during the week ending June 18, following two consecutive weekly gains....
Research Briefing
The Colombian economy is finally showing hints of an inflation build-up, with monthly CPI rising above its seasonal average in...
Research Briefing
Myanmar’s Feb. 1 military coup, which ousted the newly reelected NDL party over unsubstantiated claims of election fraud, has been...
Research Briefing
Our US Recovery Tracker started June with a bang, rising a strong 1.2ppts to 96.1 in the week ended June...
Research Briefing
The US economy is unlikely to experience an inflation regime shift. But after a decade of glacial price rises in...
Research Briefing
We believe now is the time to close out our tactical bullish GBP call, initiated in March, as the almost...
Research Briefing
Technical factors will push inflation up in the short-term and the fallout from the pandemic will raise inflation risks further...
Research Briefing
Talk of US labor shortages is everywhere. But rather than a shortage, we see a transitory mismatch between the supply...
Research Briefing
The Canada Recovery Tracker (CRT) dipped 0.1ppt to 90.9 in the week ended May 28, its first decline in five...
Research Briefing
The authorities’ decision to eschew lockdowns in the last 12 months has led to a steady return of mobility and...
Research Briefing
The latest US and China inflation numbers have been shrugged off by markets despite being a bit higher than expected.
