Research Briefing
Most metros have had steady GDP and job growth in 2023 but will start to see quarterly declines in Q4...
Interest Rate
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 42 results
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained the policy rates at its September meeting, following a tweak in its yield curve...
Research Briefing
Financial pressures from surging material costs and supply chain disruption are easing in the UK, but we remain downbeat on...
Research Briefing
Businesses are increasingly hoping for early policy rate cuts to counter the potential fallout from banking system strains. Compared with...
Research Briefing
Recent bank funding turmoil is likely to lead to tighter lending conditions in commercial real estate markets in the Asia-Pacific...
We now expect eurozone all-property capital values to fall by 10% this year, after a 3% correction last year, and...
Research Briefing
Eurozone central banks became unprofitable last year, and near-term operational losses are likely to persist as banks exit the accommodative...
Research Briefing
The 2023 outlook for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region will not compare to this year's spectacular expansion. That said,...
Research Briefing
We expect the UK economy to be in recession for most of 2023, with activity dragged down by falling real...
Research Briefing
We expect real estate values to correct sharply in 2023, but pressure should gradually alleviate as policy rates peak.
Research Briefing
Following the conclusion of HomeBuilder, rising property prices and interest rate hikes, first home buyer (FHB) demand has normalised to...
Research Briefing
To no one's surprise, the FOMC raised interest rates by 75bps for a fourth consecutive meeting, lifting the target range...
Research Briefing
Central banks around the world are raising interest rates and shrinking balance sheets, but financial conditions are not under enough...
Research Briefing
We do not believe the moderate recession forecast this winter and the deepening housing correction completely undermines the medium-term case...
Research Briefing
As far as markets are concerned, the Fed's expected path of short term rates, peaking at 4.4% early next year,...
Research Briefing
After several days of huge UK financial market volatility, the BoE intervened at the long end of the gilt market...
Research Briefing
While US policy rates will rise further in the near-term, the long-run neutral rate – the interest rate consistent with...
Research Briefing
Our baseline economic outlook now assumes a mild US recession in the first half of 2023. Despite moderate improvement in...
