Research Briefing
The onset of the Federal Reserve's easing cycle is typically positive for equities so long as the US economy avoids...
Equities
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Research Briefing
We think equities are underpinned by resilient activity, a broadening EPS recovery, and the prospect of imminent rate cuts.
Research Briefing
We see signs of an industrial recovery in the eurozone which bodes well for eurozone EPS growth and supports our...
Research Briefing
Our business cycle indicator confirms the economy has improved after getting off to a slow start in Q1. We expect...
Research Briefing
Equities are under pressure following this month's stronger-than-expected US inflation print. We see scope for some further weakness in the...
Research Briefing
We think lower quality stocks such as small caps will be the key beneficiaries of our soft-landing view. These stocks...
Brochure
Updated on a weekly basis, Oxford Economics' Proprietary Data Service is your gateway to a wealth of high-frequency indicators, sophisticated...
We remain modestly risk-on as our above-consensus view on US growth this year still favours risk assets over bonds.
Research Briefing
The latest results point to a broad-based decline in US profit margins in Q4, reversing a recovery in Q3. We...
Research Briefing
We move to a modest overweight on risk assets this month as we have become more optimistic on the global...
Research Briefing
We think US high-yield spreads will trade at or below 400 bps throughout this year. Upward revisions to our US...
Research Briefing
Our risk sentiment indicator is now in extreme optimism territory and suggests that equities may be at risk of a...
Research Briefing
We think risk assets will underperform in 2024. We map out the implications of our key 2024 global macro themes...
Research Briefing
US equities dipped into correction territory last week and we see the risk of more downside in the near term, as valuations remain expensive...
In our latest Roundtable, “Finding opportunities in a global downturn”, Javier Corominas, Director of Global Macro Strategy, examines why we...
A peak in policy rates is often a positive catalyst for equities, but there are three key reasons why we...
Research Briefing
Our cross asset framework is based on five proprietary indicators (economic cycle, credit impulse, financial stress, relative valuation, and sentiment)...
Research Briefing
Financial conditions in Canada have tightened significantly this year and we estimate this will shave 0.7ppts off GDP growth by...
Research Briefing
As far as markets are concerned, the Fed's expected path of short term rates, peaking at 4.4% early next year,...
Consulting Report
Investors in private markets can benefit from geographic diversification to help minimize their specific market downside risks, to participate in...
