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Research Briefing | Mar 20, 2024

Quick Take – low quality stocks to benefit from a soft landing

We think lower quality stocks such as small caps will be the key beneficiaries of our soft-landing view. These stocks have been the most vulnerable to rising yields over the past year but are likely to fare better as the major central banks begin to cut rates around the middle of the year.

Tags: Asset Managementasset management newsletterCentral banksEquitiesInvestment returnsRatesStocks
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Bond

Bonds and the end of the global savings glut

Is the “end of the global savings glut” story reflected in bond prices? Three different approaches to fair value for 10-year Treasurys suggest the answer is yes.
Read more: Bonds and the end of the global savings glut

Czech Republic: Profligate fiscal loosening will push up bond yields

We think the Czech 10-year bond yield is on track to breach 5% in the coming months, as the markets continue to price in the fiscally profligate programme of the new government.
Read more: Czech Republic: Profligate fiscal loosening will push up bond yields
Bond

Why bond yields are rising again and why it matters

The rise in bond yields reflects fiscal concerns, higher risk premia, shifting investor preferences, and idiosyncratic factors.
Read more: Why bond yields are rising again and why it matters

Economics for Asset Managers

Read more: Economics for Asset Managers