Research Briefing
Back to Resource Hub Research Briefing Eurozone: Energy price spike means “higher for longer” inflation Persistently high energy prices will...
Energy prices
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Research Briefing
In a week with few economic data releases, the latest ECB communications turned the week tumultuous. It appears that worries...
Research Briefing
The Midwest and South are leading the surge in inflation nationally. While US CPI inflation averaged 6.7% y/y in Q4...
The February ECB meeting marked the beginning of a clear hawkish shift in the ECB’s policy outlook. Although the policy...
Research Briefing
Tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to put pressure on energy prices, which remain at extremely high levels. Barring a...
With eurozone inflation confirmed at a record-high of 5.0% y/y in December, the debate over how long upward price pressures...
The release of the ECB December meeting minutes confirmed that inflation remained at the forefront of the Governing Council’s discussions...
Research Briefing
Growth in Q3 and previous quarters was revised up, pushing up our 2021 forecast to 4.7% from 4.3%. But we...
Research Briefing
The surge in Covid cases continues across Europe, prompting governments to announce new restrictive measures that will impact economic growth...
Research Briefing
We see little evidence that the outlook for underlying inflation in the eurozone is much changed from a few months...
Research Briefing
According to the advance estimate, Q3 GDP exceeded expectations with a 2% expansion. While this figure is subject to revision,...
Research Briefing
Finland’s GDP rose 0.9% in Q3 based on the flash estimate, in line with our forecast. High-frequency indicators show that...
Research Briefing
Growth in Q3 surprised on the upside based on the flash estimate, with activity in the previous months revised up....
Research Briefing
The ZEW and the Sentix for November surprised on the upside, showing thatinvestors are increasingly confident about the future even...
Research Briefing
Eurozone headline inflation has risen substantially, with underlying pressures becoming more broad-based. But we think the impact on consumer spending,...
Research Briefing
With inflation in Spain hitting a 30-year high, fears of an inflationary cycle are rising. However, the transition from the...
Research Briefing
The global recovery from the pandemic will be dented but not derailed if high energy prices persist throughout 2022, our...
Research Briefing
We have lowered our 2021 mainland GDP growth forecast to 3.9% from 4.1% previously after a softer-than-expected expansion in July....
Research Briefing
The week was full of events that could potentially become policy shakers. While the PMIs showed economic growth keeps cooling,...
Research Briefing
Although the outlook for Sweden is strong with all restrictions removed, there are downside risks related to persistent supply-chain bottlenecks...
