The release of the ECB December meeting minutes confirmed that inflation remained at the forefront of the Governing Council’s discussions...
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 145 results
Research Briefing
Growth in Q3 and previous quarters was revised up, pushing up our 2021 forecast to 4.7% from 4.3%. But we...
Research Briefing
The surge in Covid cases continues across Europe, prompting governments to announce new restrictive measures that will impact economic growth...
Research Briefing
We see little evidence that the outlook for underlying inflation in the eurozone is much changed from a few months...
Research Briefing
According to the advance estimate, Q3 GDP exceeded expectations with a 2% expansion. While this figure is subject to revision,...
Research Briefing
Finland’s GDP rose 0.9% in Q3 based on the flash estimate, in line with our forecast. High-frequency indicators show that...
Research Briefing
Growth in Q3 surprised on the upside based on the flash estimate, with activity in the previous months revised up....
Research Briefing
The ZEW and the Sentix for November surprised on the upside, showing thatinvestors are increasingly confident about the future even...
Research Briefing
Eurozone headline inflation has risen substantially, with underlying pressures becoming more broad-based. But we think the impact on consumer spending,...
Research Briefing
With inflation in Spain hitting a 30-year high, fears of an inflationary cycle are rising. However, the transition from the...
Research Briefing
The global recovery from the pandemic will be dented but not derailed if high energy prices persist throughout 2022, our...
Research Briefing
We have lowered our 2021 mainland GDP growth forecast to 3.9% from 4.1% previously after a softer-than-expected expansion in July....
Research Briefing
The week was full of events that could potentially become policy shakers. While the PMIs showed economic growth keeps cooling,...
Research Briefing
Although the outlook for Sweden is strong with all restrictions removed, there are downside risks related to persistent supply-chain bottlenecks...
Research Briefing
Our new monthly Asia Pacific Recovery Tracker shows overall momentum stalling in recent months amid the Delta-driven surge in Covid...
Research Briefing
Inflation has been elevated in many Asian economies for several months now. Indeed, the Bank of Korea and the Monetary...
Research Briefing
We estimate France’s fiscal deficit in 2022 will be around €40bn wider than projected by the government in its draft...
Research Briefing
Our Recovery Tracker suffered a setback at September’s end, falling 1.1pts to87.6 after reaching a new pandemic high two weeks...
Research Briefing
Consumer spending took over as the driver of recovery in Q2. We expect similar gains in Q3, leaving spending 3%...
Research Briefing
Government support schemes have been hugely successful in mitigating the financial consequences of the pandemic to consumers. But at the...
