Evidence-based short-term rental rules protect the right to live, host, and travel affordably in Europe.
Sanele Mjikane
Saudi Arabia’s latest PMI signals the strongest non-oil economic growth since 2014, driven by robust domestic demand.
Consulting Report Ensuring that the UK can capture the benefits of quantum computing Commissioned by IBM and Oxford Quantum Circuits You might be interested in
New research from Oxford Economics, published today, predicts that quantum computing could give the UK an economy-wide productivity boost of up to 7% by 2045 – equivalent to every worker achieving an additional three weeks’ worth of productivity per year without working an extra hour.
Consulting Report Beer’s Global Economic Footprint Commissioned by World Brewing Alliance You might be interested in
We expect the Spanish and Portuguese economies will continue to be clear outperformers within a struggling eurozone this year. Spain and Portugal have also reduced their long-standing, macro-financial vulnerabilities. An improved demographic outlook also means we are more optimistic about Spain and Portugal’s long-term growth than other peripheral economies.
After several years of rapid growth, we think Denmark’s pharmaceutical sector has reached an inflection point and production will settle at a new permanent high. But US President Donald Trump’s threat to impose high tariffs on Danish goods over the status of Greenland means the pharma sector is entering a more uncertain and protectionist era.
This report highlights the University’s role in driving innovation, fostering entrepreneurship and boosting human capital, while outlining future growth opportunities.
Saudi Arabia plans to invest $600bn in the US over four years, amid 7% trade growth and rising imports. Yet, oil exports fell 12% YoY in November. Meanwhile, Bahrain’s inflation hit a 4-month high at 0.5%, with prices set to rise into 2025.
Potential US tariffs would be disruptive for the eurozone economy as a whole, but we think their inflationary impact is likely to be contained. As US imports account for around 10% of total extra-EU imports, we estimate a 10% across-the-board tariff would only increase the producers prices index by 0.5%.
Surveys are a staple of high-frequency economic indicators, but they have become less reliable in predicting hard economic data like GDP growth. This feeds macro volatility – markets still interpret surveys such as PMIs essentially as reliable growth signals. The disconnect between survey and hard data can lead to mispricing.
After falling behind the climate policy progress of other European nations, the transition to renewable energy sources has become increasingly important for Poland in recent years.
We have recently published our outlook for the GCC in 2025.
The report highlights that we expect regional GDP growth to nearly double to 3.6% in 2025, above our global forecast of 2.8%.
The EU VAT Gap 2024 report offers an extensive analysis of the value-added tax (VAT) compliance and policy gaps across the EU. As part of a larger consortium, Oxford Economics analysed the discrepancy between the theoretical VAT Total Tax Liability (VTTL) and actual revenue collected, providing insights into compliance inefficiencies and policy-induced revenue losses.
GCC economies ended 2024 on a firm note according to December PMI surveys, with business activity rising especially strongly in the UAE.
Our Watchlist 2025 unpacks the likelihood of a South African economic boom and Kenya falling off a fiscal cliff. We also discuss political upheavals in Egypt and the Horn of Africa, and highlight a few more potential election surprises
Ending over five decades of rule, the Assad regime in Syria collapsed as opposition forces took control of the capital Damascus and major regions, creating political uncertainty.
We expect the euro to stabilise against the dollar and trade around its current levels over the next year. Economic fundamentals point to some support to the currency after the sharp, recent depreciation, but heightened uncertainty continues to pose a key downside risk.
The 29th Conference of the Parties (COP29) concluded with the announcement of a new core climate finance target to assist developing nations. Although a step in the right direction, this target for funding from wealthy nations to the developing world was slammed by many as insufficient to cover the substantial costs associated with climate mitigation and adaptation efforts in the developing world.
Dubai is a major global hub for air travel, with its airports serving more than 88 million passengers and the city welcoming 17 million international visitors in 2023. As a global transport and tourism hub, Dubai’s aviation sector plays an integral role in the emirate’s economy.
