Sally Li
We have developed a globally consistent framework showing cross-country GDP vulnerabilities to an escalation in China-Taiwan tensions, factoring in three key channels of risks: trade exposure to Taiwan and mainland China, wider economic and industry reliance on semiconductors for producing output and price ramifications of shortages and disrupted shipping.
Fundamental forces including demographics, Ai, geopolitics and climate change play a key role in building resilience into long-term CRE investment strategies.
Our research shows that advanced economies are generally better positioned for the critical megatrends. Australia, Singapore and the UK are the top three most resilient CRE markets, each with unique strengths.