News | 12 Sep 2024

Oxford Economics Launches Commercial Real Estate Megatrend Resilience Index

Oxford Economics is excited to announce the launch of the Commercial Real Estate Megatrend Resilience Index. Powered by Oxford Economics’ Real Estate Economics Service, this innovative index ranks the resilience of commercial real estate (CRE) markets across regions and sectors in relation to four critical megatrends: demographics, technology, geopolitics and climate. Covering 97% of the global CRE investible universe, this index offers invaluable insights to investors navigating a complex and rapidly evolving market worldwide.

“By assessing these critical megatrends for CRE, the index helps to identify markets that are best positioned to withstand the longer-term challenges and capitalise on the opportunities presented by these trends,” said Mark Unsworth, Director of Global Real Estate Economics at Oxford Economics.

One of the unique aspects of this index is its ability to assess not only individual megatrends but also their intersections. “Megatrends do not exist in isolation; they often intersect and sometimes clash, catching investors out,” said Unsworth. “By aggregating these megatrends to create an overall score at the all-property level, we provide a holistic view of the long-term prospects for key CRE markets.” Among all countries, Australia, Singapore and the United Kingdom emerged as the most resilient markets in the index, demonstrating strong performance across multiple dimensions.

In addition to accessing key CRE markets, the Index also explores how each commercial property type—residential, industrial, hotel, retail and office—performs against these the megatrends, offering a more granular overview of sector-specific outlooks. Our findings show that at the sector level, residential is the most favourable sector, followed by industrial, hotel, retail and office.

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About Real Estate Economics Service

The forecasts and analysis featured in the Commercial Real Estate Megatrend Resilience Index are powered by our Real Estate Economics Service. Trusted by CRE professionals across the world, this service provides insights into the implications of macroeconomic, geopolitical, financial and climate change developments on private and public real estate performance. Click here to request a demo today.

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