Research Briefing
A return to the sustained 'lowflation' of the 2010s is unlikely, in our view. But we also doubt that the...
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Research Briefing
A return to the sustained 'lowflation' of the 2010s is unlikely, in our view. But we also doubt that the...
Research Briefing
Generative AI has the potential to substantially improve the medium-term growth outlook for the economy. It arrives at a perfect moment – labour is going to...
Research Briefing
Beijing's reinvigorated support for manufacturing is quite the economic gamble. With property still in the doldrums and the post-Covid services recovery having largely run its course, the rationale is that manufacturing...
Research Briefing
We have recently added CPI estimates for selected major metros in the US to our US Cities and Regions Service....
Research Briefing
The outlook for the global economy has improved since the previous quarter’s Global Scenarios Service report and a soft landing...
Research Briefing
After getting carried away at the turn of the year with the likely extent of Federal Reserve rate cuts in...
Research Briefing
This briefing sets out the second of our four scenarios for South Africa's general election: the ANC wins only 40%...
Research Briefing
There has been a meaningful normalisation in Australia's trading relationship with China over the past 12 months. The removal of...
Research Briefing
Two scenarios in which former President Donald Trump returns to the White House in the 2024 election show global GDP...
Research Briefing
The lower-than-expected increase in nonfarm payroll employment, along with declining job openings and quits, suggest that wage pressures are unlikely...
Research Briefing
Following a long period of stagnation, machinery & equipment investment has experienced strong growth since the start of 2021 (Chart...
Research Briefing
Housing affordability is an active topic in the media and is increasingly part of political discord. Key metrics are running...
Research Briefing
The unemployment rate spiked to 4.1% in January, suggesting the nascent deterioration in the labour market was gathering momentum. However,...
Research Briefing
The sustainability of a building is best measured through its carbon footprint. This has two main aspects – the embodied...
Research Briefing
The Albanese government announced a significant restructure of the personal income tax schedule. The stage three tax cuts legislated in...
Research Briefing
Extensive academic research shows the importance of central bank independence in reducing inflation. Those institutions with strong operational independence from...
Research Briefing
Our latest global relative return index (RRI) signals that risk-adjusted investment opportunities in commercial real estate (CRE) should start to...
Research Briefing
A second Trump presidency would directly harm US manufacturing through two channels: repeal of President Biden's Inflation Reduction Act (IRA);...
Research Briefing
Lower house prices and falling mortgage rates will reduce stubbornly high shelter inflation and help return headline CPI inflation to...
Research Briefing
The relatively tepid 1.6% annualized gain in Q1 GDP does not present cause for concern, nor does it mean the...