Research Briefing
With net migration set to fall to its lowest level since 1997, the UK faces weaker growth and higher borrowing....
Economic growth
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Webinar
AI infrastructure spending has dominated U.S. industrial output, creating a split between tech-focused sectors and the rest of the economy....
In this blog, we address the key questions raised on economic growth, AI adoption, trade policy during our Global Economic...
Recent developments such as rising US isolationism and the AI investment boom could materially change long-term growth prospects. In this...
Consulting Report
This report assesses the Philippines’ agri-food system, from agricultural production and food and beverage (F&B) manufacturing, to the wholesale, retail,...
This report focuses on the quantum computing sector in Sussex and Greater Brighton, and its potential contribution to the South...
Navigate long-term uncertainty and assess key risks shaping the business environment.
Research Briefing
Despite the new government's 2026 budget being slightly more timid than anticipated, we don't plan major changes to our outlook....
As confidence of the US’ role as the anchor of the international order weakens, our long-term Global Rebalance scenario explores...
Despite an environment of rising protectionism and political volatility, the global economy has proved remarkably resilient.
We assess how China’s manufacturing resilience and the AI boom are reshaping regional supply chains. Despite US tariffs, overseas market...
Research Briefing
AI-related investment is unlikely to be a near-term driver of GDP growth in the EU, unlike the US where it...
Research Briefing
The ICT sector has been a key engine of economic growth for European cities over the last 25 years.
Research Briefing
The data released over the past week don't warrant changes to our latest baseline forecast for growth to improve this...
A 10% blanket tariff rising to 25% in June, coupled with tit-for-tat retaliation, would cause EU manufacturing value-added output to...
Research Briefing
We have upgraded our outlook for business investment and productivity in Japan following the December transition to 2020 as the...
Research Briefing
We expect economic growth to strengthen in the Gulf Cooperation Council region in 2026. In contrast, growth in Turkey will...
Research Briefing
Canada’s 2026 outlook hinges on USMCA renegotiation. If trade risks ease, the year could mark an inflection point for investment...
The Canadian economy avoided a technical recession in 2025 and only meagre advances are likely well into early 2026. Game-changing...
Our baseline expectation that most US tariffs on Canada and Mexico will be removed by mid-2026 with the USMCA’s renegotiation...
