Recent Release | 07 Jun 2023

The future of trade and B2B payments

Macro Consulting Team

Oxford Economics

Cross-border trade and business payments are shifting in real time. To help identify opportunities amid volatility, this new report by Convera and Oxford Economics offers insights into how global trade will evolve in coming years.

Global trade has remained remarkably resilient in recent years despite significant disruptions from the pandemic, war, and a shifting geopolitical landscape. Going forward, trade will remain an engine of global economic growth, but there will be a reconfiguration of the global trade landscape to adapt to emerging geopolitical, economic, and environmental realities.

B2B relationships are, and will continue to be, a critical component of global trade growth, supported by enablers such as currency exchange. Government policies will be key in this area. However, any products and technologies that help to simplify and reduce cross-border frictions will also play a pivotal role in driving healthy global trade.

The experts behind the research

Lloyd and Padmasai, members of the Macro Consulting team, a group of world leaders in quantitative economic analysis, working with clients around the globe and across sectors to build models, forecast markets and evaluate interventions using state-of-the art techniques.

Lloyd Barton

Associate Director, Macro Consultancy

Padmasai Varanasi

Senior Economist, Macro Consulting

Recent trade-related reports

Global trade and logistics
How much could trade policy uncertainty hurt the outlook?

If there’s one thing more damaging than tariffs themselves, it’s the sharp rise in trade policy uncertainty.

Find Out More
No shelter from the external storm for CEE economies

The small, open economies of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) are struggling against three external headwinds simultaneously: stuttering German industry, protectionist US trade policy, and overcapacity in China's manufacturing sector.

Find Out More
Reciprocal tariffs another tool to extract policy concessions
Find Out More
Opportunities in Singapore could mitigate hit from US trade barriers

The slew of tariff proposals coming out of the US has added much uncertainty to the highly export-reliant Singapore economy. Given its status as a major shipping hub, potential gains from trade rerouting will probably offset some of the negative impacts of increased tariffs. The upshot is that although Singapore's prospects are dimmed, they remain relatively promising.

Find Out More