There has been a rise in Covid 19 cases , exacerbated by the more transmissible Delta variant. As a result,...
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 172 results
Research Briefing
The government’s announcement that most of the remaining Covid restrictions are likely to be removed on July 19 has bolstered...
Research Briefing
The MPC now thinks CPI inflation could exceed 3% this year, with the risk of an even bigger overshoot of...
There has been much discussion around the world about how the Covid pandemic is disproportionately impacting women in the labour...
Research Briefing
London’s business activity continued to improve in April, according to the IHS Markit Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI), and business confidence...
Research Briefing
May’s PMIs delivered a set of record, or near-record, high readings. Whileactivity may not be quite as heated as the...
Research Briefing
Though the budget deficit remains very high, monthly borrowing totals haveconsistently undershot the OBR’s forecasts. We expect this to continue...
Research Briefing
UK wages have recently grown at a pace not seen for over a decade. But rather than a sign of...
Research Briefing
While the economy shrunk in Q1, the fall was smaller than feared. And the quarter ended with evidence of activity...
Research Briefing
Our Oxford Economics Normality Tracker shows that London’s return to “normality” may have slowed recently. But we nevertheless forecast that...
Research Briefing
At May’s MPC meeting the committee revised up its forecast for GDP growth in 2021 significantly and laid out its...
Research Briefing
Recent survey and high-frequency data have boosted hopes that the economy is in the early stages of a strong rebound...
Research Briefing
Reflecting recent positive developments, we think the MPC will vote unanimously to keep policy on hold in its May meeting. It...
Research Briefing
A win for pro-independence parties at Scottish elections on May 6 will put Scotland’s exit from the UK back on...
Research Briefing
Retail sales surged in March, even though many physical stores remained closed, while the reopening of non-essential stores and outdoor...
Research Briefing
March’s pickup in inflation will mark the beginning of a sharp rise over the next few months, as sizeable base...
Research Briefing
Although February saw GDP make only a modest advance in exiting a Covidshaped hole, the month’s 0.4% m/m rise in...
Research Briefing
The global travel recovery has remained elusive so far. Vaccination is underway in 150 countries and will play a vital...
Research Briefing
With the government confirming that non-essential retailers and outdoor hospitality will reopen in England on Monday, our forecast of a...
Research Briefing
Our Oxford Economics Normality Tracker improved in March, reflecting a fall in Covid cases, thanks to the January lockdown.This has...
