Research Briefing | May 13, 2021

London monitor | London to grow by 6.7%, as signs of recovery emerge

london monitor - oxford economicslondon monitor- GVA

Our Oxford Economics Normality Tracker shows that London’s return to “normality” may have slowed recently. But we nevertheless forecast that GVA in London will rise by 6.7% this year, underpinned by strong growth in consumer spending as lockdown restrictions fall away.

What you will learn:

  • We forecast that the fastest growth rates in 2021 will be found in Inner London boroughs (Hackney, Southwark, Newham). Overall, however, Outer London will grow faster in 2021 than Inner.
  • The labour market situation remains challenging. Resident employment fell by -32,100 between September-November 2020 and December 2020-February 2021.
  • House prices in London declined by -1.4% in February, the sharpest monthly drop in almost ten years.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

After the presidential debate, the US election remains a toss-up

Though Vice President Kamala Harris' chances of winning the election have improved since her debate with former President Donald Trump, we aren't changing our subjective odds for the outcome of the 2024 presidential contest.

Find Out More

Post

Introducing our US immigration tracker

We created a real-time tracker of unauthorized migrants to the US, the driving force behind the nation's post-pandemic immigration surge. New undocumented migrants in the US will total 2.3mn this year, nearly 1mn lower than in 2023.

Find Out More