Research Briefing | Jun 7, 2021

UK | London’s economy to grow

Copy of The outlook for the world’s leading urban economies amid the global slowdown (1)-1

London’s business activity continued to improve in April, according to the IHS Markit Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI), and business confidence was very strong. Separate survey data from ICAEW painted a similar period.
The Oxford Economics Normality Tracker shows a continued return towards normality for London in April and the first half of May, although at a pace
behind the average European city.


Download this report to learn about
:

  • Spending in the construction industry fell in Q1 2021 compared to Q4 2020
  • The financial services sector saw a decline in equity market activity in April and also a fall in lending to companies, but offset by strong growth
  • On the labour market side, ONS data suggest that resident employment returned to growth in Q1
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

Nowcast shows wage growth slowing sharply

Our sentiment data, developed with Penta, suggests that UK private sector wage growth slowed sharply in March and early-April. If official data mirrors our sentiment indicator, it should keep the Monetary Policy Committee on track to cut interest rates in the summer.

Find Out More

Post

The euro and depreciation – shake, shake it off

Our new forecast assumes a slower euro appreciation against the dollar over the coming years than we previously anticipated. Relative productivity, terms of trade, and the current account will likely be less supportive of the euro than we thought. In addition, a stronger stock market than initially envisaged will attract more financial flows into the US than we had expected.

Find Out More