Research Briefing
Treasury yields rocketed higher and the curve flattened sharply last week as rate hike expectations jumped. The 2-year yield jumped...
Research Briefing
Treasury yields rocketed higher and the curve flattened sharply last week as rate hike expectations jumped. The 2-year yield jumped...
Research Briefing
The global economic environment has shifted with international price inflation surging, monetary conditions being aggressively tightened, and a number of...
Research Briefing
The National Bank of Poland (NBP) hiked the policy rate by 75bps at yesterday's meeting, in line with both our...
Research Briefing
The quantitative easing (QE) programmes undertaken by the leading global central banks since the global financial crisis (GFC) have changed...
Research Briefing
The big concern about inflation is no longer the level at which it will peak, but where it will settle...
Research Briefing
Norwegian mainland GDP declined by 0.6% q/q in Q1. Despite strongly growth in both February and March, a low starting...
Research Briefing
What’s the future for inflation? Joachim Nagel, the new president of Germany's central bank, believes the rapidly ageing global population...
Research Briefing
Along with energy prices, global food prices have emerged as a key driver of the eurozone's current inflationary surge. Like...
Research Briefing
Australia's terms of trade (the ratio of export prices to import prices) increased sharply through the pandemic due to a...
Research Briefing
The minutes from the April ECB meeting confirm the hawkish tilt initiated a few months ago continues to gain momentum....
Research Briefing
We have lowered our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Finland to 1.5% from 1.7% last month, as weakening confidence further...
Research Briefing
We have revised our 2022 eurozone inflation forecasts sharply higher, to 6.0%, since the start of the Ukraine war, as...
Research Briefing
Inflationary pressures continue to build, with input costs rising at a rapid pace. The economic landscape is also constantly shifting:...
Research Briefing
Global supply chain disruptions are impacting regions of Europe that are heavily dependent on the two key industrial sectors of...
Research Briefing
Around 3.2mn Ukrainian refugees, over half of the total number, have escaped to Poland since the start of the Russian...
Research Briefing
Higher international food prices will have a more aggressive impact on African CPI readings than those in advanced economies. This...
Research Briefing
President-elect Ferdinand Marcos Jr faces a tricky balancing act between supporting the economic recovery and containing the Philippines' burgeoning fiscal...
Research Briefing
While the economic fallout from Russia's invasion of Ukraine will likely be limited for the Nordic region, we have nonetheless...
Research Briefing
Growth risks for the eurozone economy are leaning to the downside, according to our analysis. Our business cycle indicator and...
Research Briefing
The EU has approved a joint proposal from Spain and Portugal to cap gas prices used in electricity generation. The...