Research Briefing | May 16, 2022

Factors affecting the pace of policy normalisation in South Africa

Inflationary pressures continue to build, with input costs rising at a rapid pace. The economic landscape is also constantly shifting: prolonged Covid lockdowns are affecting Chinese industrial production and exports, which has a significant impact on the international movement of goods.

What you will learn:

  • A slowdown in Chinese economic activity will hold negative implications for the South African economy.
  • Moreover, devastating floods in parts of KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) and the latest bouts of loadshedding are going to hurt domestic real GDP growth in Q2.
  • As economic activity continues to weaken, it will become harder to justify tighter policy.

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