Research Briefing
Supply chain strains eased in September after increasing slightly in August. Transportation pressures subsided the most of all our tracker's...
Macroeconomics
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 203 results
Research Briefing
African purchasing managers' index (PMI) readings for Q3 2022 reflect economic weakness on the continent and we expect GDP data...
Research Briefing
As far as markets are concerned, the Fed's expected path of short term rates, peaking at 4.4% early next year,...
Research Briefing
The Global Climate Service quantifies the macroeconomic impacts of five climate scenarios against a stated policies baseline. These scenarios help...
Research Briefing
Still topping the charts on nearly every economic metric, Austin’s economy remains on fire. Its net growth since the start...
Research Briefing
While US policy rates will rise further in the near-term, the long-run neutral rate – the interest rate consistent with...
Research Briefing
Our baseline economic outlook now assumes a mild US recession in the first half of 2023. Despite moderate improvement in...
Research Briefing
We expect a shallow but protracted recession in Finland from Q3 this year to Q1 2023, with a contraction of...
Research Briefing
We now expect Denmark to enter a shallow recession in Q3 this year, ending in Q1 2023, due to rising...
Research Briefing
The Norway mainland GDP forecast has been raised 0.5ppts to 3% following a slight growth surprise in Q2 and a...
Our modelling suggests incorporating owner-occupied housing costs would lower eurozone headline inflation from Q3 2022 by 0.3ppts, with negative contributions...
Research Briefing
We have cut our 2023 GDP growth forecast for Finland by 0.3ppts to 0.5%. Although growth in Q2 remained resilient...
Research Briefing
After the West and its allies imposed sanctions on Russia for invading Ukraine, President Putin announced a radical rehaul of...
Research Briefing
A right-wing coalition government is expected to win in the upcoming Italian elections in September. Although "euroexit" is now very...
Research Briefing
We have expanded our climate transmission channels on the Global Economic Model to include more sub-Saharan African economies. Through scenario...
Research Briefing
We estimate consumer spending in the eurozone increased by 0.8% q/q in Q2, despite persistent elevated inflation denting real incomes...
Research Briefing
In early August, Russia's Gazprom refused to accept a Siemens' turbine used in Nord Stream 1, citing technical issues. Gazprom...
Research Briefing
The Danish economy surprised to the upside in Q2, expanding by 0.7% q/q. This showing raised our 2022 GDP growth...
Research Briefing
As European inflation reaches record levels, the impact varies across cities and regions. We estimate that most large European cities...
Research Briefing
Supply-chain conditions in the US offered encouraging signs to start Q3, according to our supply chain tracker. Inflationary pressures ebbed...
