Research Briefing
Recession risks are mounting globally, including in the eurozone. Growing recession fears have resulted in large drops in oil prices...
Growth
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Research Briefing
The planet is undoubtedly warming. In 2020, the global average temperature was 1.2°C higher than pre-industrial levels. Positive temperature anomalies...
Research Briefing
The eurozone's labour market has outperformed expectations since the start of the pandemic, but current headwinds to economic growth are...
Research Briefing
Monthly data from Russia's trading partners indicate a rapid reorientation of Russian exports towards Asian markets. In particular, the data...
Research Briefing
Central banks have changed the way they react to economic conditions, largely focussing on current inflation and its impact on...
Research Briefing
The expectation of a strong recovery in the tourism sector, coupled with the divergence between resilient services activity and a...
Research Briefing
Denmark's inflation outlook is deteriorating rapidly. With the EU announcing plans to wind down imports of Russian oil, higher-for-longer oil...
Research Briefing
Survey evidence paints a mixed picture of the London economy, with continuing growth but some signs of slowdown and of...
Research Briefing
Around 3.2mn Ukrainian refugees, over half of the total number, have escaped to Poland since the start of the Russian...
Research Briefing
While the economic fallout from Russia's invasion of Ukraine will likely be limited for the Nordic region, we have nonetheless...
Research Briefing
Growth risks for the eurozone economy are leaning to the downside, according to our analysis. Our business cycle indicator and...
Research Briefing
According to early estimates, Ukraine's GDP experienced a 40%-45% contraction in March in the wake of Russia's invasion. In our...
Research Briefing
Our 2022 Norway GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at 3.6%, but a stronger-than-expected impact from the war in Ukraine on...
Research Briefing
Two months after Russia's invasion, Ukraine is suffering huge humanitarian and economic losses. According to official estimates, Ukraine's economy contracted...
Research Briefing
The Russian government is no longer able to make payments on its US-denominated external debt as the US Treasury has...
Research Briefing
The fallout from the Russia-Ukraine conflict and a brief but sharp hit from the Omicron outbreak have prompted us to...
Research Briefing
We have downgraded our GDP growth forecasts due to repercussions from Russia's war on Ukraine and, to a lesser extent,...
Research Briefing
The global semiconductor shortage has passed its peak, as chipmakers have ramped up production significantly since the middle of 2021....
Research Briefing
The GCC countries have entered a period of higher interest rates - their US$ currency pegs mean regional central banks...
