The Bank of England’s new BCST stress test introduces a recalibrated approach to measuring financial resilience in reflecting IFRS 9...
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Research Briefing
President Trump launched the first salvo in what will like turn into another global trade war. A 10% additional tariff...
Our short-term outlook for the global economy has a seen a small upwards revision due to the expected loosening of...
Research Briefing
Our probability of recession models showed marked improvement in September, reversing much of the recent rise. Against this backdrop, our...
A recent assessment by the World Bank Group identified the Oxford Economics Model as a superior tool for forecasting commodity...
Research Briefing
Despite last summer's US Supreme Court decision, the Biden administration has forgiven $153bn in student loan debt through piecemeal actions....
Research Briefing
Last week's Budget highlighted the flaws at the heart of the UK's dysfunctional fiscal policy, particularly its poorly-designed fiscal rules....
Research Briefing
Presidential elections not only have major implications for the future path of fiscal policy and the macroeconomic outlook, but they...
We believe the Canadian economy has slipped into a moderate recession that will create slack, ease price pressures and help...
Research Briefing
The Census Bureau released its long-term population projections in November. They paint a more pessimistic outlook for the US than...
The world economy performed better in the final months of 2022 and early 2023 than might have been expected, given...
The Global Climate Service quantifies the macroeconomic impacts of five climate scenarios against a stated policies baseline. These scenarios help...
Research Briefing
The earlier and faster than expected ending of zero-Covid restrictions in China bodes well for the global economy and adds to the recent run...
Research Briefing
The Global Climate Service quantifies the macroeconomic impacts of five climate scenarios against a stated policies baseline. These scenarios help...
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You may be interested in Global Macro Service Monitor macro events and their potential impact. Find Out More → Global...
Research Briefing
Current climate action pledges won’t contain global warming to well below 2°C in line with the Paris Agreement. If decisive...
Is the world economy’s current, long-running upturn running out of steam? Jittery financial markets that have struggled to regain a...
Lost amid Europe’s political drama and recurrent euro doomsday scenarios is the fact that the Eurozone economy has a business...
Equity earnings cycles to power ahead – especially in underperforming Europe and EM markets The world economy is evidently in...
February 2017: A recovery in trade Each month Oxford Economics’ team of 160 economists updates its baseline forecast for 200...
