Research Briefing
Our baseline economic outlook now assumes a mild US recession in the first half of 2023. Despite moderate improvement in...
GDP growth
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Research Briefing
We continue to believe the global economy will narrowly avoid a recession, despite expecting the US, Canada, and most of...
Research Briefing
Odds of a downturn in Canada have just crossed a tipping point and we now expect a moderate recession starting...
Research Briefing
Brazil's October presidential election will likely be decided in a runoff between two arch-rivals: the far-right Jair Bolsonaro and left-wing...
Research Briefing
We expect a shallow but protracted recession in Finland from Q3 this year to Q1 2023, with a contraction of...
Research Briefing
Sky-high gas prices and aggressive monetary policy tightening have pushed the global economy to the brink of a late 2022/early...
Research Briefing
The UK government's energy price guarantee will mean a much lower peak for inflation, reducing the damage to household incomes....
Research Briefing
Although the risk of hard energy rationing has diminished, demand destruction triggered by the surge in energy prices has led...
Research Briefing
Metros that are home to a large share of headquarters saw higher growth in headquarter-specific jobs than in other sectors....
Research Briefing
We will increase gas prices and inflation and cut GDP growth in the September forecast round, with the eurozone economy...
Research Briefing
The global economic outlook has continued to deteriorate. Since our previous global scenarios were released three months ago, we have...
Research Briefing
We have cut our 2023 GDP growth forecast for Finland by 0.3ppts to 0.5%. Although growth in Q2 remained resilient...
Research Briefing
Despite a better start to 2022 than previously estimated, we have kept our forecast for this year unchanged due to...
Research Briefing
2022 is proving to be a very disappointing year for global GDP growth, with risks that the outlook could worsen....
Research Briefing
Recession risks are mounting globally, including in the eurozone. Growing recession fears have resulted in large drops in oil prices...
Research Briefing
Surging inflation across Europe has led us to lower the outlook for real growth in consumer spending this year, although...
Research Briefing
Asian cities are facing several challenges to economic growth, including the slowdown of the Chinese economy, supply chain problems, and...
Research Briefing
Salt Lake City’s low costs and outdoor amenities have attracted in-migration, spurring robust population over the last few years. The...
Research Briefing
The eurozone's labour market has outperformed expectations since the start of the pandemic, but current headwinds to economic growth are...
Research Briefing
Central banks have changed the way they react to economic conditions, largely focussing on current inflation and its impact on...
