Research Briefing
Japan’s parliament has approved the latest supplementary budget, which includes the second-largest expenditure package in its history. But while the...
Research Briefing
Japan’s parliament has approved the latest supplementary budget, which includes the second-largest expenditure package in its history. But while the...
Research Briefing
We expect important changes to the EU’s fiscal governance framework, but no paradigm shift. Specifically, green and digital public investments...
Research Briefing
After emerging as an outperformer in early 2021, the Central and Eastern European region is set to face an eventful...
Research Briefing
The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) will deliver a 2% boost to US construction activity over the next two...
Research Briefing
Diminishing economic disruption and uncertainty, stemming from the pandemic and ensuing supply-side bottlenecks, bode well for a still-strong recovery in...
Research Briefing
We see China’s economy entering 2022 with weaker growth. Our forecast has GDP growth dipping to 3.6% y/y in Q4...
Research Briefing
The eurozone pushed on with a strong recovery in 2021, but in many ways that’s been the easy part. With...
Research Briefing
On Wednesday 3rd November, Oxford Economics hosted its quarterly UK & Global Outlook Conference. This invite-only event for our key...
Research Briefing
The week was full of events that could potentially become policy shakers. While the PMIs showed economic growth keeps cooling,...
Research Briefing
The recent escalation of the conflict between Poland and the European Union has significantly increased the odds of a decisive...
Research Briefing
We estimate France’s fiscal deficit in 2022 will be around €40bn wider than projected by the government in its draft...
Research Briefing
Canada will likely usher in another minority government when voters hit the polls on Sept 20, led by either the...
Research Briefing
Recent political shifts have increased the odds of Germany loosening its tight national fiscal rules after the September elections, which...
Research Briefing
The race to succeed long-term Chancellor Merkel and lead Europe’s largest economy is wide open. But we think Germany will...
The construction sector did not escape the coronavirus-induced economic downdraft unscathed. Activity at the global scale fell 1.4% in 2020,...
Inflation has become the all-consuming focus of investors’ attention in recent weeks. On the surface the story is simple—transitory factors...
In his recent blog post, Ahmed Esam discusses the challenges the GCC region faces as it aims to transition away...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast sees a strong rebound in eurozone economic activity as vaccinations bring the pandemic under control, but this...
Research Briefing
Vaccine programs across the world are well underway and should enable a sustained and meaningful easing of restrictions in mid-2021....
Research Briefing
The Recovery and Resilience Plans (RRPs) that EU member states have so far submitted to the European Commission to unlock...