Research Briefing
Since the pandemic, our view of the medium-term outlook has shifted to become more pessimistic on inflation and equity market...
Research Briefing
Since the pandemic, our view of the medium-term outlook has shifted to become more pessimistic on inflation and equity market...
Research Briefing
Positive developments in energy markets mean the risk of a sharp downturn in the eurozone during the winter has diminished...
Research Briefing
Though a correction in values is firmly underway for European commercial real estate markets, we believe the worst is yet...
Research Briefing
Metal prices ended 2022 lower than they started the year, despite the Russian invasion of Ukraine initially causing prices to...
Research Briefing
Bengaluru's and Hyderabad’s economies will most likely continue to outperform their Asia Pacific and Indian peers in terms of growth...
Research Briefing
German industry has been successful in reducing its consumption of gas relative to previous years, particularly in the second half...
Research Briefing
Following a hard winter, we expect the Nordic economies to rebound from mid-2023 as falling inflation turns real incomes positive,...
Research Briefing
The G7 and the European Union (EU) hope to keep Russian oil exports on the market and prevent global oil...
Research Briefing
We anticipate most advanced economies will fall into recession in 2023 and global growth will be weaker than the consensus...
Research Briefing
We think the outlook for traditional winter sales in the eurozone is subdued this year and any boost won't be...
Research Briefing
Despite an upside growth surprise for Q3, we still expect the eurozone to fall into a widespread recession. Not all...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast is for consumer spending in the eurozone to fall over the next two quarters as consumption fundamentals...
Research Briefing
Anything but a 75bps hike of the ECB's key policy rates after next week's council meeting would be a big...
Research Briefing
Soaring debt costs across advanced economies threaten to push commercial real estate markets into distress. DM REITs are likely to...
Research Briefing
We expect eurozone industrial production to contract by a cumulative 3% over the next few quarters due to the severe...
Research Briefing
According to the proposal of the German government's expert commission around half of the recently agreed €200bn fiscal package or...
Research Briefing
The National Bank of Poland (NBP) kept its policy rate unchanged at 6.75% yesterday, undershooting consensus and our expectation of...
Research Briefing
The evidence of the past year shows that inflation has been far from transitory. But we still believe supply factors...
Research Briefing
The energy crisis took a dramatic turn this week after reports of several leaks in the gas pipelines Nordstream 1...
Research Briefing
Odds of a downturn in Canada have just crossed a tipping point and we now expect a moderate recession starting...