Research Briefing
Private credit risks are rising, but limited spillovers and lower leverage reduce the threat to broader financial stability.
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Research Briefing
Our Global Relative Return Index (RRI) is unchanged from six months ago at 52.7 for 2025, signalling that we are...
Research Briefing
China's economy looks to have entered a marked downturn. Cyclical trends in China are always tricky to assess given the...
Research Briefing
Abrupt yen appreciations have been associated with, or preludes to, global financial instability. So far, the recent yen surge has...
Despite the upgrade to our global economic outlook since December 2023, the Q1 update of our IFRS 9 and CECL...
Research Briefing
The West's major central banks are well into their quantitative tightening programmes, reducing their combined balance sheet by $5.1 trillion....
Research Briefing
The relative resilience of G7 output in the face of aggressive rate hikes is partly due to the surprising strength...
The fight against inflation is well underway across the globe, with most central banks either approaching or having already reached...
Research Briefing
We see the recent increase in term premia as explainable by the ongoing retreat of price insensitive foreign buyers, structurally...
Research Briefing
In a tough global environment, we are below consensus on advanced economy growth and anticipate most will fall into recession...
Research Briefing
The Hungarian economy is being hit by a perfect storm of shocks, particularly surging inflation and a weakening currency. Our...
Research Briefing
Central banks around the world are raising interest rates and shrinking balance sheets, but financial conditions are not under enough...
Research Briefing
In our view, the IMF's recent downgrade of its global GDP growth forecast looks too optimistic. The IMF estimates that...
Consulting Report
This study examines whether silver should be viewed as a distinct asset class that warrants a strategic investment allocation within...
Research Briefing
The negative market reaction to last week's fiscal announcements appears to be a function of doubts over the credibility of...
Research Briefing
Upward revisions to recent quarters have pushed up our Sweden growth forecast for 2022 to 3%. That said, we expect...
Research Briefing
Ukraine's successful counteroffensive in Kharkiv in the north-east of the country has stoked hopes of a Ukraine victory and perhaps...
Research Briefing
We have increased our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Sweden by 0.4ppts to 2.4%, as growth in Q2 surprised on...
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Research Briefing
Back to Resource Hub Research Briefing | Jan 27, 2022 Russia-Ukraine tensions: Asset market scenarios Despite tensions continuing to ratchet...
