Research Briefing
We think the Czech 10-year bond yield is on track to breach 5% in the coming months, as the markets continue to price in the...
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Research Briefing
The rise in bond yields reflects fiscal concerns, higher risk premia, shifting investor preferences, and idiosyncratic factors.
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Climate and other sustainability challenges can affect the finance sector and have a material impact on returns to capital.
Research Briefing
We think the environment of strong US demand coupled with still ample global liquidity, should be positive for US risk...
Research Briefing
We close out our tactical long position on gold that we re-opened in July 2024. Still, we remain bullish on...
Research Briefing
The onset of the Federal Reserve's easing cycle is typically positive for equities so long as the US economy avoids...
Research Briefing
We think equities are underpinned by resilient activity, a broadening EPS recovery, and the prospect of imminent rate cuts.
This blog post emphasises the critical need for a comprehensive analysis in climate risk management, recognising the value of NGFS...
Research Briefing
The latest revamp of our foreign exchange risk tool (FXRT) demonstrates the enhanced predictive power of selected vulnerability metrics over...
Research Briefing
We expected a bout of SEK weakness following the Riksbank rate cut in the spring, but we think the recent...
The UK election has concluded with Labour securing a landslide victory. This result is likely to set the stage for...
The outcome of the presidential and congressional elections this November will be pivotal for the outlook in 2025 and beyond....
How much of the picture for 2025 is dependent on the US labour market? In this week’s video, join Oliver...
Join Andrew Goodwin, Chief UK Economist, as he outlines the potential economic impact on fiscal policy of the manifestos published...
The 2024 US Presidential Election is less than seven months away. In this week’s Beyond the Headlines, Bernard Yaros, Lead...
Research Briefing
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In this week’s Beyond the Headlines, join Andrew Goodwin, Chief UK Economist, as he outlines how we’ve changed our UK...
Research Briefing
The strength of the US dollar looks likely to continue this year and into 2025 before possibly waning in 2026,...
Global construction activity has continued to stagnate over 2024 as the impact of high construction costs, policy tightening by central...
Research Briefing
We see signs of an industrial recovery in the eurozone which bodes well for eurozone EPS growth and supports our...
