Ungated Post | 13 Feb 2017

Forecasting criminal Legal Aid expenditure: 2017 update

The Law Society asked Oxford Economics to refresh its 2014 study to produce forecasts of criminal Legal Aid expenditure under alternative scenarios. A number of factors could affect Legal Aid expenditure over the next five years, including the volume of Legal Aid claims, the impact of policy changes, and the composition of the caseload. We produce a baseline forecast which assumes that crime and prosecution rates remain unchanged in future years, and compare this to alternative forecasts which allow crime and prosecution rates to evolve in line with recent trends. Under both alternative scenarios, expenditure falls—by almost £20 million under the first scenario and by £111 million in the second. We have also investigated what could happen to criminal Legal Aid expenditure if recent government reforms prove effective in reducing the time taken (and therefore costs) per case. Assuming a related cost saving of 2.5-5 percent, this could further reduce criminal Legal Aid expenditure in 2021/22 by between £15 million and £34 million, under the various scenarios.

Read the full report.

Oxford Economics’ team is expert at applying advanced economic tools that provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues.

To find out more about our capabilities, contact:

Americas
Diantha Redd
+1 (646) 503 3052
Email

Asia Pacific
Peter Suomi
+65 6850 0110
Email

EMEA
Aoife Pearson
+44 (0)203 910 8054
Email

Related Services

Post

From disruption to reinvention: The future of supply chains in Europe

Published at the World Economic Forum’s Annual Meeting in Davos, this report explores three possible scenarios for how the Ukraine war could play out over the coming year, modelling the impact of each scenario on the Eurozone economy.

Find Out More

Post

De l’opportunité à l’impact – Évaluer les avantages économiques, sociétaux et culturels de YouTube en Belgique

Cette étude évalue la contribution de YouTube au PIB belge et au taux d’emploi en Belgique, ainsi que son impact plus large sur la société et la culture.

Find Out More

Post

Van mogelijkheden naar impact – Beoordeling van de economische, maatschappelijke en culturele voordelen van YouTube in België

Deze studie beoordeelt de bijdrage van YouTube aan het BBP en de tewerkstelling in België alsook de bredere impact op de maatschappij en cultuur.

Find Out More