Ungated Post | 24 Jul 2020

Chart of the week: Our forecast for world trade growth


Innes McFee

Managing Director of Macro and Investor Services

Our baseline forecast looks for world trade to grow by just 2.6% per year from 2020-2030, with trade volumes in 2030 around 5% lower than we expected in January. In addition, we expect the next decade to see the lowest ratio of trade growth to GDP growth in any decade since 1950.

World trade forecast


You may be interested in


Our new global trade service: TradePrism

TradePrism is the most comprehensive forecasting service for trade. Offering 1200 product-level forecasts of trade between 46 major economies, and high-level indicators for an additional 137 economies delivered through an interactive data visualisation platform allows organisations to understand the key trends across global trade.

Find Out More
Aerial view of Singapore business district and city at twilight


Sneak preview: our new Asia Real Estate Service

The new Asia Real Estate Economics Service helps companies understand the implications of macroeconomic, geopolitical, financial and climate change on private and public real estate performance in Asia. The first globally consistent and independent set of real estate forecasts, the service offers regular analysis and commentary from our highly experienced team of real estate economists.

Find Out More


Oxford Economics Launches Global Risk Service

Oxford Economics launches our Global Risk Service, a suite of data-driven and forward-looking tools that measure macro-economic and financial crises risks in 166 countries.

Find Out More