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Business doing exports and imports globally

Global trade will be caught in a tug-of-war between tariffs and AI, capping growth at 1.2% in 2026.

Winnipeg

Canada’s industrial property outlook for 2026 points to broad resilience. Explore which markets fare better and the key risks influencing performance.

Coffee bean and Latin America map

LatAm economies will lose momentum in 2026, but some will fare better.

A lady holding a terrestrial globe

We believe APAC will remain the strongest global performer in 2026. However, the growth trajectory will likely be more uneven than in past cycles.

Manufacturing

Prospects appear solid for global industry in 2026, but activity is set to remain regionally and sectorally divergent.

UK flag and big ben

We think 2026 will be another challenging year for the UK economy – our GDP growth forecast of 1% is at the bottom of the consensus.

Real estate is still poised for a revival in 2026. Although 2025’s deal recovery was delayed, the key fundamentals remain in place for renewed momentum.

A man holding Eurozone flag

We expect the Eurozone economy to gain momentum in 2026, but without a strong policy boost, its economic growth will be lacklustre.

Hands of a humanoid robot and of a human trying to touch each other

Some very smart people are betting that machines shaped like humans will do much of our household and factory work for us in the near-ish future. But hurdles remain.

Belem, Brazil

COP 30’s agenda had placed a strong emphasis on countries’ implementation of their emissions reduction target and, for the first time, several workstreams included discussions on unilateral trade policies.

Valve

We expect the global valves market to register an increase of 3.0% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026. The downgrade is largely due to a weaker outlook for growth as a result of the impact of tariffs.

US dollar bill

US exceptionalism will continue in 2026—but so will the vulnerabilities beneath the surface. 

Global map

We expect steady but unexceptional global GDP growth in 2026, with more interesting developments beneath the surface.

Turning 2025 to 2026

As we head into 2026, our attention is turning to the key themes for next year. But how did our key calls for 2025 pan out?

Commodity prices

Looking ahead, we anticipate a modest contraction in 2026 for aggregate commodity prices, with US natural gas and precious metals likely to remain relative outperformers.

Commodity sign on a white desk

Industrial strategy, not scarcity, has become the new source of commodity price turbulence.

Climtae strike with a person holding a board about global warming

As COP30 approaches, we explore the economic cost of a warmer world and why adaptation and resilience must be at the heart of climate action.

Repair the wheel of an automotive

We expect that the number of cars produced in Europe will grow over the next years. However, the future is much bleaker than the past.

China export container

China’s exports have adapted, rather than retreated, under higher US tariffs. It will be difficult for businesses and consumers to decouple from Chinese exports or China-linked supply chains.

Washington landscape

The federal shutdown that started on October 1st is on course to be one of the longest in years and could have a significant impact in a handful of mostly southern metros.