Global Outlook Roundtable Munich
Oxford Economics invites you to attend our Global Outlook Roundtable to be held on Tuesday 8th November 2022 at Eurostars Book Hotel.
09:00 Registration and coffee
09:30 Global & European Macro Outlook
Oliver Rakau, Deputy Head Europe Macro
10:30 Coffee break
11:00 European Industry & Sector Outlook
Alexandra Hermann, Senior Economist, Industry
12:00 Interactive lunch and networking
Will central banks raise interest in face of high energy prices?
- The global economy may narrowly avoid falling into recession thanks to resilient emerging markets. But aggressive monetary policy tightening, limited fiscal support and the raging energy crisis will drag most advanced economies into a downturn.
- Europe and especially Germany are at the eye of the storm with energy-intensive industrial sectors facing a severe recession and a deeply uncertain longer-term outlook due to the likely lasting shift in gas prices. But easing supply bottlenecks and sky-high backlogs will dampen manufacturers’ overall production cuts.
- Central bank decisions are exclusively driven by inflation for now. But that singular focus will be much harder to sustain, once economies are in recession and signs of inflation peaks are proliferating. We see a dovish pivot latest by Q1 2023.
Schwanthalerstraße 44, 80336 München, Germany – 200 meters from Munich central station
Deputy Head Europe Macro
+49 69 9675 8664
Deputy Head Europe Macro
Oliver is Oxford Economics’ Chief Germany Economist and Deputy Head of the European Macroeconomics team. He is based in its Frankfurt office and his research is focused on Germany, ECB policy and inflation. Prior to joining the company in 2017, he has been a senior economist for Deutsche Bank Research in Frankfurt for seven years working in its macroeconomic and industry teams. He holds a Master’s degree from London School of Economics.
+44 (0) 203 910 8042
London, United Kingdom
Alexandra is a Senior Economist on the Industry team where she is responsible for sectoral forecasts for the chemicals and pharmaceuticals industry and helps develop the team’s view on the global industrial outlook. She has also supported macroeconomic consulting projects such as developing scenario analyses for Accenture. Her role also involves contributing to bespoke industry consulting projects across a range of sectors such as chemicals, machinery, and energy.
Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Alexandra worked as an economic consultant for Cornerstone Research for over two years. At Cornerstone Research, she was involved in conducting qualitative research and quantitative analyses to support expert testimony in high-stakes litigation cases across a variety of sectors including energy, pharmaceuticals, and financial markets. Alexandra holds an MPhil in Economics from Oxford University and a BSc in Economics from the University of Mannheim. Alexandra is fluent in English and German.