Home
Free Trial
Free TrialSign In
  • Sign In
  • What we do
    • Countries/Macro
      • Global Economic Model
      • Global Macro Service
      • Global Trade Flows
      • Global Scenarios
      • Country Economic Forecasts
      • US Forecasts
      • Africa Forecasts
      • Event-Driven Analysis
      • All services
    • Cities & Regions
      • Global
      • UK & Europe
      • Americas
      • Africa & Middle East
      • Asia-Pacific
    • Industries
      • Global Industry Service
      • Global Construction Service
    • CONSULTANCY
      • Economic Impact
      • Thought Leadership
      • Macro Consulting
      • Bespoke Forecasting
    • TRAVEL & TOURISM
      • Global Travel Service
      • Global City Travel
      • Air Passenger Forecasts
      • Webinars
      • Resources
      • Careers
      • Awards
    • Contact us to find out more about our forecasting services, models, & scenarios.

      Free trial
  • How we help

    Our economists and analysts help organisations make better decisions, set strategies, improve resiliency, establish policy, discover new opportunities, optimize operations and plan for growth. Find out how we can help you below or use our product recommendation tool to get started.

    • TRENDING TOPICS
      • Presidential election
      • Coronavirus
      • Coronavirus vaccine
      • Climate change
      • Cities
      • Our approach
      • How we help
      • Sectors we serve
      • Blog
  • About Us
  • My Oxford
  • Contact
  • Media
  • Sectors We Serve
  • My sector
    • How we help
      • Asset Management
      • B2C
      • Banking
      • Chemicals
      • Energy
      • Government
      • Infrastructure
      • Manufacturing
      • Mining
      • Real Estate
      • Technology
      • Travel and tourism

The impact of a 'no-deal' Brexit on travel and tourism

A “no-deal” Brexit would cause a 5% drop in UK outbound travel and tourism trips in 2020, because of the stifled economic backdrop and impact of a weaker pound. Ireland and Spain would be the hardest hit from fewer UK visitors. In contrast, the weaker pound could mean that UK tourism inflows are 4% higher in a “no-deal” scenario, provided there is no travel disruption. But lower levels of domestic tourism mean that we would expect UK travel and tourism GDP to be 2% lower than our baseline forecast in 2020.

Read the full report.

Our consulting team at Tourism Economics are the world’s leading analysts of the global tourism and travel sector. They combine their expert insight with our state-of-the-art economic models and tools to answer the crucial questions facing our clients. Lead consultants on the project were:

The impact of a 'no-deal' Brexit on travel and tourism

Oxford Economics Research Team

Our economic impact and thought leadership teams produce original, evidence-based research made accessible to decision-makers and opinion leaders. Principals for this project included:

David Goodger

David Goodger

Director of Tourism Economics, EMEA

Email

Oxford Economics’ team is expert at applying advanced economic tools that provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues. To find out more about our capabilities, contact:

To find out more about our capabilities, contact:

EMEA
David Goodger
+44 (0)1865 268 928
Email

Americas
John Levis
+1 (646) 503 3068
Email

Asia
Adam Sacks
+1 (610) 995 9401
Email

  • Oxford Economics
    • About us
    • Contact us
    • Media
    • Economists and analysts
    • Careers
  • Products and services
    • Subscription services
    • Economic impact
    • Thought leadership
  • Help and software
    • Help using our services
    • Software and downloads
    • Latest technology developments
  • Privacy and Legal
    • Privacy policy
    • Cookies
    • Data protection
    • Terms and conditions
    • Software Support and Training
  • Follow Us
    • LinkedIn
    • Twitter
    • Facebook
© Oxford Economics 2020 all rights reserved