Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 250 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
- May 23 2019
India: A resounding vote of approval for Modi
In line with the exit polls, India delivered a clear verdict in favour of the incumbent Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, in the 2019 general elections. For the second consecutive time, Modi’s Bharatiya...
- May 23 2019
Eurozone: ECB minutes hint at June policy verdict
The minutes from the last ECB meeting confirm our view that the council was in assessment mode in April as it debated the conflicting signals on the growth and inflation outlook as well as the downsid...
- May 23 2019
Europe: US-EU auto trade war postponed until 2020
The US administration’s decision to delay tariffs on imported cars and parts from the EU by six months is encouraging, especially considering escalating tensions vis-à-vis China. The imposition of 25%...
- May 23 2019
United States: State and local boost to growth to ease
State and local tax revenues jumped 6.8% in fiscal 2018 – the largest gain in 11 years. The spurt of revenue growth allowed state and local governments to increase their nominal outlays by 4.4% – the...
- May 22 2019
United States: Fed minutes underscore “patient” approach
The minutes from the April 30 – May 1 FOMC policy meeting were in line with expectations, although they are a bit stale since the meeting preceded the recent escalation of trade tariffs. Many policym...
The Cisco UK Productivity Index
The Cisco UK Productivity Index - Examining Local Performance Disparities Within The UK
Regaining trust in active management: Allianz Global Investors 2019 Institutional Investor Survey
The 2019 Allianz GI Institutional Investor Survey shows that investors want strategies to help manage emerging risks, knowing that, thanks to quantitative easing, market conditions since the global fi... more
Digital Society Index 2019: Human Needs in a Digital World
Despite being a part of the world’s most dynamic digital economy, U.S. consumers have the least amount of trust in businesses and a greater propensity to protect their data. Read our global study to u... more
In the media
In our latest US Executive #Podcast, OE's @BostjancicKathy and US chief economist @GregDaco discuss the outlook for the #USeconomy focusing on rising #trade tensions with #China and the implications for growth, household income, #inflation and #Fed policy: bit.ly/2K6E2KD
We launch a new way to manage currency risk with our FX Risk Tool, a composite measure of vulnerability to #currencycrisis. Our #FXRisk Tool measures risks of sharp currency falls and is a strong leading indicator of currency crises, our testing shows: bit.ly/30Fv1xZ
With a global slowdown dragging down #inflation, risks of #Japanification – economies sinking into a long run of low growth with low inflation or #deflation – is back. Most under threat, as in 2016, are countries on the #Eurozone periphery, some in Asia: bit.ly/2WXEdLC
Latest US #tariffs on China in the #tradewar will erase benefits of #tax cuts for most households in the #USeconomy, especially low- and middle-income families via @OxfordEconomics @TaxPolicyCenter : bit.ly/2X6MFZj
Organisational culture is critical to business performance influencing outcomes in collaboration, customer satisfaction and retention - and financial results. Our model developed with @GrantThornton tracks how key aspects of culture map into performance: bit.ly/2X1MG0u
US #Congress leaders are working towards a potential budget deal that would also include raising the #debtceiling. Very important is that if budget caps from the Budget Control Act of 2011 kick back in for FY2020, the drag on US growth would be 0.3ppt
It's very unlikely the “new #Brexit deal” from PM #May - a batch of sweeteners to various groups of MPs - will sway enough dissenters to win Withdrawal Agreement vote in 2 wks. So next major crunch point on Brexit will be a summer Tory leadership contest: bit.ly/2X1fcz5