Research Briefing
Growth in Q3 and previous quarters was revised up, pushing up our 2021 forecast to 4.7% from 4.3%. But we...
Inflation
Are we now stuck in a high inflation world? Temporarily high inflation has lasted for longer than anyone predicted and inflation is set to rise further from here. Might we have actually entered into a new, higher, regime for inflation? Find out more about our GDP inflation forecast.
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 513 results
Research Briefing
Even though Omicron is casting a huge shadow over the UK economy, the BoE today raised Bank Rate to 0.25%...
Research Briefing
Inflationary pressures have strengthened and broadened in Central and Eastern Europe recently, prompting a hawkish turn by the region’s central...
Latin America’s economy enters the new year on a weakened footing. Our 2022 themes revolve around the inherent struggle between...
Research Briefing
It appears to be a forgone conclusion that the ECB council will agree to end its Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme...
Research Briefing
Canada’s full economic recovery from the pandemic has been delayed, notderailed. The economy continues to benefit from reopening amid highvaccination...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker fell sharply in late November as news of the Omicron variant hit financial markets, exacerbating the...
Research Briefing
The Nordic countries will exit 2021 in much better shape than when they entered it. Considerable progress on vaccine rollouts...
Research Briefing
A less positive economic outlook and rising downside risks are threatening the global real estate recovery. Our baseline forecast is...
Research Briefing
Diminishing economic disruption and uncertainty, stemming from the pandemic and ensuing supply-side bottlenecks, bode well for a still-strong recovery in...
Research Briefing
The surge in Covid cases continues across Europe, prompting governments to announce new restrictive measures that will impact economic growth...
Research Briefing
The Q2 CPI data prompted a sharp re-evaluation of the outlook for inflation and interest rates across financial markets. We...
Research Briefing
We see China’s economy entering 2022 with weaker growth. Our forecast has GDP growth dipping to 3.6% y/y in Q4...
Research Briefing
After enduring one of the deepest downturns in 2020, the UK has enjoyed one of the strongest rebounds in 2021....
Research Briefing
Recent months have seen the favourable lending environment for households begin to tighten. Inflation concerns have bond markets pricing in...
Research Briefing
We anticipate 2022 will be a ‘MESSI’ (Moderating Expansion with Sticky Supply-driven Inflation) year for the US economy. After experiencing...
Research Briefing
The eurozone pushed on with a strong recovery in 2021, but in many ways that’s been the easy part. With...
Our 2021 mainland GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at 3.9% after the 2.6% Q3 expansion was broadly in line with...
Research Briefing
Ordinarily, the strength of recent survey evidence would have tilted the balance further toward a rise in Bank Rate next...
