Global Key themes 2022: Supply chains to begin normalising
Industrial production will lag services growth globally going into 2022 as supply-chain pressures continue to bite and the post-pandemic recovery in household spending on services continues apace – with the Omicron variant a significant near-term downside risk.
The recovery in global industrial production will gain considerable momentum later in the year as component shortages and cost pressures ease, and will once again lead growth into the medium-term.
What you will learn:
- The double dip recession in the global automotive industry has entered the recovery stage, but lingering semiconductor shortages and supply chain disruptions means the recovery will be gradual, particularly in Europe.
- Shipping disruptions are expected to ease over the course of the year. As labour supply problems throughout logistics supply chains abate and shortages in warehousing space are addressed, seaborne freight looks set to recover in H2 2022.
- High-tech manufacturing will continue to lead growth in both advanced and emerging economies, as industries move towards greater digitalisation and automation.
Tags:
Related Services
Post
BoJ to raise its policy rate cautiously to 1% by 2028
We now project that the Bank of Japan will start to raise its policy rate next spring assuming another robust wage settlement at the Spring Negotiation. If inflation remains on a path towards 2%, the BoJ will likely raise rates cautiously to a terminal rate of around 1% in 2028.
Find Out More
Post
Japan inflation to rise to 1.8%, but downside risks are high
Reflecting a surprisingly strong Spring Negotiation result and weaker yen assumption, we have upgraded our baseline wage and inflation forecasts. We now project higher wage settlements will push inflation towards 1.8% by 2027. Uncertainty is high, however.
Find Out More