US economy is in transition, but no signs of a recession are imminent. While weaker-than-expected US labour market data have...
Economic growth
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Research Briefing
The three northern swing states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are must-win states for Vice President Kamala Harris and former...
Research Briefing
Adverse demographic trends imply that the only alternative for sustaining China's longer-term growth momentum would be to sharply accelerate productivity growth. The timely emergence of generative AI could partially close this gap.
Research Briefing
You may be interested in 2024 Paris Olympics: Impact on Tourism and Beyond The Olympics are set to push Paris...
Research Briefing
If President Biden did not drop out, the outcome of the election appeared to be clear, but things have changed...
Research Briefing
The Pacific Northwest’s robust economy is forecast to continue to outperform over the next few years. A large presence of...
Research Briefing
Sunday's presidential election presents limited upside scenarios for the Venezuelan economy. Our baseline is for President Nicolás Maduro to remain...
Consumer spending growth will remain resilient this year. Supported by rising real incomes, consumer spending growth is forecast to average...
Research Briefing
Our forecasts do not show any significant deindustrialisation over the next decades in Europe—in fact, we find predictions around imminent...
Research Briefing
Our tool suggests India is a strong contender. Holding India back is its low productivity per worker and poor education...
Research Briefing
President Biden's decision to withdraw as a candidate caps a string of major political events that has roiled the 2024...
Research Briefing
The economy underwhelmed in the first half of the year while it transitioned to a more sustainable pace of growth,...
Research Briefing
President Joe Biden's decision to drop out of the election doesn’t warrant any immediate changes to our election scenarios nor...
Research Briefing
Related Resources 2026 Winter Olympic medals: How metals prices reshaped medal values A gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics...
The outcome of the presidential and congressional elections this November will be pivotal for the outlook in 2025 and beyond....
Consulting Report
On behalf of the World Spirits Alliance (WSA), and in collaboration with the IWSR, Oxford Economics undertook the first ever...
Research Briefing
Indianapolis saw healthier job growth than most of its Midwest peers in the first half of the year. Industries that...
Research Briefing
Although Minneapolis added jobs in the first half of 2024 at a pace that exceeded the US average, it shed...
Research Briefing
During the next presidential term, the economy will receive a net boost from federal policymaking, and inflation will come in...
Research Briefing
Each month, we forecast the dozens of price categories that underlie the consumer price index, and our forecast is for...
