Research Briefing
GDP growth among Latin America's largest six economies will improve on the margin next year and surprise the consensus to...
Research Briefing
GDP growth among Latin America's largest six economies will improve on the margin next year and surprise the consensus to...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast assumes generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) will boost eurozone GDP level by 1.4% over the next 15 years,...
Research Briefing
We expect global industrial production to grow by 2.6% this year, up from 1.8% in 2023. Our view remains that...
Research Briefing
Economic policy uncertainty is rising earlier than normal for a presidential election year, and this has implications for the Q4...
Research Briefing
The economy remains in transition and is settling into a more sustainable pace of growth, with next year being decent...
Research Briefing
We believe that recent jitters about US growth prospects are overdone. While US GDP growth will slow a bit, we...
Research Briefing
Our new proprietary business cycle phase indicator points to a trough in sight for industry, but with dispersion among sectors....
Our forecasts do not show any significant deindustrialisation over the next decades in Europe. However, Europe indeed faces substantial challenges...
Indonesia is planning to move its capital to Nusantara. However, this move is not expected to fully replace Jakarta's economic...
US economy is in transition, but no signs of a recession are imminent. While weaker-than-expected US labour market data have...
Research Briefing
The three northern swing states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are must-win states for Vice President Kamala Harris and former...
Research Briefing
Adverse demographic trends imply that the only alternative for sustaining China's longer-term growth momentum would be to sharply accelerate productivity growth. The timely emergence of generative AI could partially close this gap.
Research Briefing
You may be interested in 2024 Paris Olympics: Impact on Tourism and Beyond The Olympics are set to push Paris...
Research Briefing
If President Biden did not drop out, the outcome of the election appeared to be clear, but things have changed...
Research Briefing
The Pacific Northwest’s robust economy is forecast to continue to outperform over the next few years. A large presence of...
Research Briefing
Sunday's presidential election presents limited upside scenarios for the Venezuelan economy. Our baseline is for President Nicolás Maduro to remain...
Consumer spending growth will remain resilient this year. Supported by rising real incomes, consumer spending growth is forecast to average...
Research Briefing
Our forecasts do not show any significant deindustrialisation over the next decades in Europe—in fact, we find predictions around imminent...
Research Briefing
Our tool suggests India is a strong contender. Holding India back is its low productivity per worker and poor education...
Research Briefing
President Biden's decision to withdraw as a candidate caps a string of major political events that has roiled the 2024...