We've modelled a "Prolonged Iran War" scenario using our Global Economic Model — and the results are sobering.
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If the ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Iran break down, how likely is it that Iran will stop shipping through...
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In response to the results of the US election we've adopted our 'limited Trump' scenario as our baseline view for...
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We still see the presidential election as a coin flip, but our updated scenarios suggest that upside risks to our...
We have developed a globally consistent framework showing cross-country GDP vulnerabilities to an escalation in China-Taiwan tensions, factoring in three...
At Oxford Economics we firmly agree with Bernanke’s forecast process recommendations to the BoE. The review also sparked us to...
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Continued economic growth will help stabilise commercial real estate yields and values before pricing slowly begins to recover next year....
he Q4 update of our IFRS9 and CECL scenarios services paints a more pessimistic view of the balance of risks...
Sustainability is a multifaceted challenge, shrouded in complexity. It can make navigating the complex landscape of sustainability daunting, with organisations...
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We have revised up our long-term wage and inflation projections based on a larger impact from structural labour shortages due...
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On the back of China’s recent consumption outperformance, we now expect the economy to grow by at least 5.5% in 2023.
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The economic impact of mitigation policies to address climate change will vary by state and metro. Understanding these differences, under...
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Many factors, ranging from demographics to broader economic growth to government spending priorities, have large impacts on construction activity. But...
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The decline in house prices triggers falls in residential investment. Consumer spending also weakens as credit conditions tighten and worsening...
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Downside risks to our near-term outlook for global real estate are mounting, as the global economic outlook has continued to deteriorate over the...
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A combination of recession on the horizon, high inflation forecasted for the short term and rapid central bank tightening is...
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The global economic outlook has deteriorated in the last quarter. With the Russia-Ukraine war the major concern.
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The global economic outlook has deteriorated in the last quarter. But is there light at the end of the tunnel?...
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You may be interested in Global Scenarios Service Explore the implications of key risks to the world economy. Find Out...
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Back to Resource Hub Research Briefing | Jan 27, 2022 Russia-Ukraine tensions: Asset market scenarios Despite tensions continuing to ratchet...
