Research Briefing
Rising energy prices are set to lift US PCE inflation to its highest level since 2023, with further pressure expected...
Oil prices
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Research Briefing
Oil prices are pulling back, but inflation pressures and weakening demand are starting to build. Is this just temporary relief,...
Research Briefing
Disruption to LNG flows through the Strait of Hormuz poses a bigger threat to Asia than higher oil prices, risking...
The US has taken its most aggressive step yet against Russia’s oil sector, sanctioning the financial arms of Rosneft and...
Saudi Aramco’s 20-year, $11bn lease deal with Global Infrastructure Partner (GIP), a firm under BlackRock’s umbrella, for Jafurah Field Gas...
Research Briefing
If the ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Iran break down, how likely is it that Iran will stop shipping through...
Surging crude oil price from Iran-Israel conflict puts global GDP at risk. Is the world economy on the edge of...
Research Briefing
Fears of a substantial escalation in the Middle East last week prompted the largest swing in the oil price in...
Research Briefing
We still anticipate a shallow economic downturn in Q2 and Q3 before a tepid recovery emerges later this year. Accordingly,...
Research Briefing
The outlook for the global economy has improved since the previous quarter’s Global Scenarios Service report and a soft landing...
Research Briefing
The escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East does not pose a downside risk to the US economy because...
Research Briefing
A slower fall in services inflation will partially offset the relatively stronger disinflationary forces in goods prices. We do not...
We believe the Canadian economy has slipped into a moderate recession that will create slack, ease price pressures and help...
Research Briefing
While the economy has expanded throughout 2023, uncertainty remains high and we are not ready to remove a recession from...
Research Briefing
Swings in oil prices pack less of an economic punch than in the past but sudden increases can still be...
Research Briefing
The G7 and the European Union (EU) hope to keep Russian oil exports on the market and prevent global oil...
Research Briefing
We expect Asian currencies to stabilise, if not strengthen, versus the US dollar in 2023, as the Fed pauses hiking...
Research Briefing
Data for Q3 on the volume of China's imports of crude from Russia show a drop against the June level....
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine continues to sow economic disruption around the world. One long-term problem the conflict could exacerbate is...
Research Briefing
Among large US metros, several southern ones are likely to out-perform over the 2022-26 period, including Dallas and Atlanta as...
