The escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict will hit the eurozone economy mainly via higher energy prices giving another spur to...
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Research Briefing
The escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict will hit the eurozone economy mainly via higher energy prices giving another spur to...
Research Briefing
The crisis between Russia and Ukraine continues to dominate the headlines. Although we expect the direct economic impact for the...
Research Briefing
Our forecast for Finland’s GDP growth is 2.3% this year and 1.5% in 2023, both unchanged from last month. The...
Research Briefing
High inflation in the UK and concerns about the effect of a tight jobs market on wages will likely push...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker rose 1.4ppts to 96.3 in the week ended February 4, recouping almost all of its losses...
Our forecast for Finland’s GDP growth is 2.3% this year and 1.5% in 2023, both unchanged from last month. The...
Research Briefing
President Cyril Ramaphosa’s State of the Nation Address (Sona) again contained some positive signs of a change in policy direction....
Research Briefing
Back to Resource Hub Research Briefing UK inflation set to peak higher and remain stickier We now see UK CPI...
Research Briefing
The impact of a “limited” incursion by Russia into Ukraine would deal an unwelcome blow to the European economy via...
Research Briefing
The ECB's unexpectedly hawkish shift tone prompted a sizeable market reaction, with Italian 10-year bond yields rising 55bps, to 1.95%....
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You may be interested in Global Economic Model Our Global Economic Model provides a rigorous and consistent structure for forecasting...
Research Briefing
A key aim of the climate negotiations at COP26 was the notion of keeping 1.5°C alive. While the emission reductions...
The February ECB meeting marked the beginning of a clear hawkish shift in the ECB’s policy outlook. Although the policy...
Research Briefing
The banking sector has proved resilient during the pandemic, and eurozone banks will continue to play a significant role supporting...
Research Briefing
Inflation prospects will again dominate the upcoming ECB meeting. We do not expect any clear policy signals or decisions given...
Research Briefing
Tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to put pressure on energy prices, which remain at extremely high levels. Barring a...
Research Briefing
We have lowered our mainland 2022 GDP growth forecast by 0.1ppt to 4.2% to reflect the economic impact of the...
Research Briefing
Back to Resource Hub Research Briefing | Jan 27, 2022 Russia-Ukraine tensions: Asset market scenarios Despite tensions continuing to ratchet...
Research Briefing
Our eurozone Recovery Tracker rose 1.4pts to 80.3 in the two weeks ending January 9. We view the reading with...
