Research Briefing
We anticipate most advanced economies will fall into recession in 2023 and global growth will be weaker than the consensus...
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Research Briefing
The impact of the lockdowns and Covid-19-related restrictions in China were severe in the second quarter of 2022. We have...
Research Briefing
The short-term outlook for China's major cities has deteriorated further since our last release in March. While the global surge...
Research Briefing
President-elect Ferdinand Marcos Jr faces a tricky balancing act between supporting the economic recovery and containing the Philippines' burgeoning fiscal...
Research Briefing
On Wednesday 3rd November, Oxford Economics hosted its quarterly UK & Global Outlook Conference. This invite-only event for our key...
Research Briefing
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has played a key role in leading India’s pandemic policy response. While elevated inflation...
Research Briefing
New global cases of Covid-19 have fallen below the March lows and in many advanced economies, rapid vaccination programmes have...
Research Briefing
Myanmar’s Feb. 1 military coup, which ousted the newly reelected NDL party over unsubstantiated claims of election fraud, has been...
Research Briefing
States are starting to relax lockdown measures as the second wave of Covid infections is showing signs of plateauing. As...
Research Briefing
Bahrain locked down again on 27th May after a surge in new Covid-19 cases, despite having one of the world's...
Research Briefing
Technical factors will push inflation up in the short-term and the fallout from the pandemic will raise inflation risks further...
Research Briefing
The latest US and China inflation numbers have been shrugged off by markets despite being a bit higher than expected.
Research Briefing
A series of bond sales across the GCC have taken place. Saudi Aramco isselling its first dollar-dominated Islamic bonds in...
Research Briefing
After a weak Q1 for the global economy, our baseline forecast is for a strong growth rebound in Q2, and...
Research Briefing
Vaccines are the key to a safe and permanent transition to more normal conditions. But evidence from economies that already...
Research Briefing
Strong CPI figures in the US have intensified the debate about the inflation outlook, especially in the context of soaring...
Research Briefing
Over the past week, there has been a series of announcements about plans in the GCC to ease lockdown and...
Research Briefing
We think that recent inflation surprises are not evidence of a regime shift in price-setting behaviour. But the path for...
Research Briefing
Higher headline and core inflation in advanced economies is on the way in H2 as a result of factors including...
Research Briefing
A global shortage of semiconductors is the latest hiccup to disturb international supply-chains. In our view, though, the shortage is...
