Research Briefing
We expect the more transmissible Delta coronavirus variant will have a much lower impact on European economies than previous waves,...
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Research Briefing
A string of new Covid-19 outbreaks is weighing on the APAC region’s economic recovery. Among Asia’s developed economies, the case...
Research Briefing
Due to ongoing pandemic-related spending needs, we now expect Indonesia’s fiscal deficit will narrow to 3% of GDP only by...
With a second surge of COVID in April, Canada sustained a longer lockdown than the US. GDP climbed 1.4% in...
Research Briefing
Coronavirus and subsequent containment measures have weighed heavily on the economies of Europe’s major cities. However, the improving health situation,...
Research Briefing
Despite a flattening of the yield curve and some position squaring of the socalled reflation trade, we believe our key...
Research Briefing
Myanmar’s Feb. 1 military coup, which ousted the newly reelected NDL party over unsubstantiated claims of election fraud, has been...
Research Briefing
Bahrain locked down again on 27th May after a surge in new Covid-19 cases, despite having one of the world's...
Research Briefing
We believe now is the time to close out our tactical bullish GBP call, initiated in March, as the almost...
Research Briefing
If implemented, the global tax reforms agreed at this month’s G7 meeting would set a floor for corporate tax rates...
Research Briefing
Saudi Arabia’s GDP fell 3.0% y/y in Q1 according to newly released data, slightly less than preliminary estimates suggested. The...
Research Briefing
London’s business activity continued to improve in April, according to the IHS Markit Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI), and business confidence...
Research Briefing
May’s PMIs delivered a set of record, or near-record, high readings. Whileactivity may not be quite as heated as the...
Research Briefing
Current climate action pledges won’t contain global warming to well below 2°C in line with the Paris Agreement. If decisive...
Research Briefing
After being lauded for their successful containment of Covid-19 in 2020, the ASEAN-6 economies have experienced a surge in cases...
Research Briefing
World trade is staging an impressive recovery and so are ASEAN’s exports. We forecast exports will make a positive contribution...
Research Briefing
Though the budget deficit remains very high, monthly borrowing totals haveconsistently undershot the OBR’s forecasts. We expect this to continue...
The sustainability of hydrocarbon revenues among Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) economies has been a major concern for decades, prompting a...
Research Briefing
India’s new lockdown strategy, which is being led by states, seems to be working. The sustained decline in the daily...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker fell 0.5ppts to 91.1 in the week ending May 7, the second decline in three weeks....
