Research Briefing
The expectation of a strong recovery in the tourism sector, coupled with the divergence between resilient services activity and a...
GDP growth
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Research Briefing
We have increased our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Finland to 1.8% from 1.5% last month, due to a stronger-than-expected...
Research Briefing
As part of our extensive analysis on regional economies across the world, we continue to explore novel approaches and innovative...
Research Briefing
We have lowered our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Finland to 1.5% from 1.7% last month, as weakening confidence further...
Research Briefing
Inflationary pressures continue to build, with input costs rising at a rapid pace. The economic landscape is also constantly shifting:...
Research Briefing
Deglobalisation is unlikely to be a "big bang" but more a creeping tide of targeted measures by individual countries, in...
Research Briefing
We have downgraded our GDP growth forecasts due to repercussions from Russia's war on Ukraine and, to a lesser extent,...
Research Briefing
The GCC countries have entered a period of higher interest rates - their US$ currency pegs mean regional central banks...
The February ECB meeting marked the beginning of a clear hawkish shift in the ECB’s policy outlook. Although the policy...
Research Briefing
Inflation prospects will again dominate the upcoming ECB meeting. We do not expect any clear policy signals or decisions given...
Research Briefing
We project that Asia Pacific’s 25 leading cities experience on average 4.5% GDP growth in 2022, and 4.1% over the...
After decelerating in Q3, US GDP growth resumed a healthy pace in Q4, and is expected to hold steady in...
In spite of global supply-side issues and another wave of Covid-19 infections at the end of 2021, we expect GDP...
Research Briefing
Finance and business services is expected to drive growth in global economic activity and employment over the next 20 years....
Research Briefing
The ECB took significant steps to tighten its highly accommodative policy stance over the course of 2022 on the back...
Research Briefing
Our new monthly Asia Pacific Recovery Tracker shows overall momentum stalling in recent months amid the Delta-driven surge in Covid...
Research Briefing
We’ve cut our China growth forecast for Q4 to 3.6% y/y from 5%, and for 2022 to 5.4% from 5.8%....
Research Briefing
Inventories – normally a strong predictor of the business cycle – are uncharacteristically low, even though global growth is at...
