Research Briefing
Pioneering research has used panel econometric techniques to estimate the economic impact of average temperatures. Building on that approach, we...
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Research Briefing
The energy crisis will shape the macroeconomic outlook again in 2023, keeping the eurozone economy in recession at the start...
Research Briefing
As Russia's war in Ukraine enters a new phase, so does the economic crisis. Based on my conversations with locals...
Research Briefing
The Hungarian economy is being hit by a perfect storm of shocks, particularly surging inflation and a weakening currency. Our...
Research Briefing
The new UK Chancellor's decision to reverse almost all September's mini-Budget tax cuts plus action to limit the cost of...
Research Briefing
In our view, the IMF's recent downgrade of its global GDP growth forecast looks too optimistic. The IMF estimates that...
Research Briefing
According to the proposal of the German government's expert commission around half of the recently agreed €200bn fiscal package or...
Research Briefing
The evidence of the past year shows that inflation has been far from transitory. But we still believe supply factors...
Research Briefing
Ecuador is no longer on track towards meeting the criteria imposed on it by the IMF to keep its US$6.4bn...
Research Briefing
Although it has benefited from a rapidly growing tech sector, Denver’s net job growth since the start of the pandemic...
Research Briefing
Although it has recovered its lost film jobs and then some, Los Angeles shows a net decline of 0.8% since...
Research Briefing
Houston’s GDP is forecast to have declined 0.1% so far in 2022, with declining petrol and coal product manufacturing in...
Research Briefing
Still topping the charts on nearly every economic metric, Austin’s economy remains on fire. Its net growth since the start...
Research Briefing
Our baseline economic outlook now assumes a mild US recession in the first half of 2023. Despite moderate improvement in...
Research Briefing
The UK government's energy price guarantee will mean a much lower peak for inflation, reducing the damage to household incomes....
Research Briefing
In 2022, we expect the strength of global economic growth to be driven by demand-side developments, in stark contrast to...
