We’ve lowered our world GDP growth forecast by 0.4ppts since the start of March to 2.4% because we expect a...
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Research Briefing
We believe the Czech Republic will move to the upper one-third of the fastest-growing EU economies in 2025-2026 after lagging...
Research Briefing
We estimate that a 1ppt rise in US tariffs cuts imports from China by 2.5% in the long term.
Research Briefing
Reflecting a surprisingly strong Spring Negotiation result and weaker yen assumption, we have upgraded our baseline wage and inflation forecasts....
Research Briefing
China heads into 2024 with relatively loose policy settings, but private sector sentiment constrained by property pessimism. Policy efforts will...
Research Briefing
We project the distribution of long-term economic pain inflicted by Covid will be similar to humans in the sense that those with pre-existing conditions will end up suffering the most.
Research Briefing
Based on the middle-income trap literature, we developed a long-term growth indicator that used 33 metrics to assess risks to...
We've recently revised up our forecasts for US and UK bond yields in the long term by 50 basis points;...
Research Briefing
Some observers are predicting a very big uplift to global productivity and economic growth from developments in artificial intelligence. But...
Research Briefing
We expect Latin America's six largest countries' combined GDP to expand 0.8% next year, down from our 1.8% forecast for...
