Research Briefing
Energy prices are pushing inflation higher in the UK and Eurozone, undermining the idea that central banks can simply look...
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Research Briefing
Rate cuts by the European Central Bank over the course of 2025 may not boost growth to the same degree...
Oxford Economics set the stage for the year ahead, at our second Global Economic Outlook Conference, in London on Wednesday,...
Research Briefing
Central and Eastern European economies are among the most exposed to the impact of Trump policies due to their large,...
Research Briefing
Related Services Macro and Regulatory Scenarios Our models, forecasts, and datasets can be customised to fit the unique needs of...
Research Briefing
A substantial backlog of work is supporting building construction activity in the face of falling permits. Building companies in the EU report a 11.5-month backlog of...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast for policy rates is consistent with central bankers continuing to focus almost exclusively on inflation. Their laser-like...
Research Briefing
The outlook for the global economy has improved since the previous quarter’s Global Scenarios Service report and a soft landing...
Research Briefing
The lower-than-expected increase in nonfarm payroll employment, along with declining job openings and quits, suggest that wage pressures are unlikely...
Research Briefing
Extensive academic research shows the importance of central bank independence in reducing inflation. Those institutions with strong operational independence from...
Research Briefing
We expect the March employment report to show moderating job growth, adding to the Federal Reserve's confidence that the labor...
Oxford Economics set the stage for the year ahead, at our inaugural Global Economic Outlook Conference, in London on Wednesday,...
Research Briefing
Weak demand, profit margin compression, easing pipeline pressures, and abating supply bottlenecks mean we see core goods inflation strongly coming down...
Research Briefing
The rapid surge in interest rates will continue to weigh on the Nordic economies next year with little external support,...
In our latest monthly forecast, we raised our aggregate 2023 GDP growth forecast for emerging markets (EMs) by 0.1ppt to 4.1%. We raised our 2023 GDP growth forecast for China...
Research Briefing
Despite today's (28th July) surprise tweak to YCC policy, we continue to believe that Governor Ueda is determined to avoid...
Research Briefing
Emerging market (EM) central banks' credibility to restrain inflation over the medium-term horizon remains intact despite the tests it's been...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) left short-term policy rates at -0.1% and long-term rates at around 0% at today's policy meeting. With...
Research Briefing
We now expect Bank Indonesia to start cutting the policy rate in Q4 2023, earlier than our previous expectation of Q1...
Research Briefing
In view of the surprise PBOC cut to the 7-day reverse repo rate, we now anticipate more rate cuts in...
