Research Briefing
The latest results point to a broad-based decline in US profit margins in Q4, reversing a recovery in Q3. We...
Asset Management
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 94 results
Over the last year, inflation has come down as we expected with the economy holding up relatively better in the...
Research Briefing
We move to a modest overweight on risk assets this month as we have become more optimistic on the global...
Surprisingly, the rate hiking cycle in the US has not been accompanied by a spike in financial distress. This week...
Research Briefing
Surprisingly, the rate hiking cycle in the US has not been accompanied by a spike in financial distress. This partly...
Our risk sentiment indicator is flashing red once again following the sharp end-of-year equity rally. In this week’s Beyond the...
Research Briefing
We think US high-yield spreads will trade at or below 400 bps throughout this year. Upward revisions to our US...
Research Briefing
Our risk sentiment indicator is now in extreme optimism territory and suggests that equities may be at risk of a...
We are unconvinced that recent measures mark a turning point in China's housing downturn and the resulting banking system is...
We think risk assets will underperform in 2024. In this week’s Beyond the Headlines, Javier Corominas, Director of Global Strategy,...
Research Briefing
Emerging market (EM) GDP growth will disappoint next year but EM central banks will reap the dividends of credible policies...
Research Briefing
We think risk assets will underperform in 2024. We map out the implications of our key 2024 global macro themes...
Research Briefing
We forecast no rate cuts by the Fed up to and including the July meeting, while the market prices 72bps....
The greenback is overvalued fundamentally, but 2024 will disappoint dollar bears. The pivot the market expects on the back of...
Research Briefing
The dollar will continue to be supported by a high carry and the relative resilience of the US economy. Even...
It's widely believed that global growth and inflation will slow in 2024 and that advanced economy central banks will begin...
In the past week, our research has focused on the recent behavior of, and prospects for, interest rate-sensitive elements of...
One of our key macro calls for 2024 is our view that eurozone inflation will be lower than what the...
Research Briefing
US equities dipped into correction territory last week and we see the risk of more downside in the near term, as valuations remain expensive...
The fight against inflation is well underway across the globe, with most central banks either approaching or having already reached...
